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This very much highlights the challenge facing Sunak and his party – the Tories have lost most support amongst the age groups where traditionally they have been strong. What is also striking is that the Tory losses are substantially greater than the Labour gains which reflects what I have been noting for weeks – Starmer’s party has not been picking up enough of the GE2019 Tory vote. What is happening is that a large slab of the Tory decline is…

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Another rejection of Sunak and his government One of the features of the current wave of strikes in the public sector is that the public when polled are generally in support of those taking action. It was easy to see how the nurses could get backing but now the latest poll from YouGov finds support teachers and I find that more remarkable. In many ways this is a reflection of views of the government which has seen its ratings nosedive….

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In less than a year we should see the first Primary in the 2024 White House Race. There is a lot of debate going on within the Democratic party about which state should be first with efforts being made to dislodge Iowa and New Hampshire from their normal first slots. There is also the quite high possibility of the Democratic primary race being operated entirely separately from the Republican one with the latter tending to follow the traditional order that…

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One of the most long-standing polling series in British politics is from Ipsos when those sampled are asked entirely without prompting to name what they think are the key issues facing the country at the moment. The Tweet from the Ipsos boss Ben Page above sets out the reality of where the Tories are currently at as they work hard to work up public opinion against trade unions. This clearly shows that we are far far away from the days…

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After all the fuss about Donald Trump and top secret documents the current president Joe Biden appears to have done something similar by taking classified documents home. Trump has faced similar problems and the question is being raised about whether Biden is going to be able to carry out his desire to run for the presidency in 2024. Inevitably the developments have impacted on Biden’s position in the betting and as can be seen from the chart he has slipped…

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The above polling on striking nurses is’from the latest Opinium poll that came out yesterday and highlights what appears to be a growing problem for the government. Normally strikes by those providing public services do not get supported by the public and that certainly can reinforce the resolve of ministers to deal with with the situation. That simply is not happening with the nurses and the numbers above should be worrying. That just under half the public, if this polling…

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