Big boost for the big three in ICM EU election poll

Big boost for the big three in ICM EU election poll

CON 30 (+4) LAB 24(+1) LD 18 (+3) UKIP 10(-6) GRN 9(3) SNP/PC 4(+2) BNP 1(-4) OTH 3(-3) Could turnout distort the pollsters’ projections? There’s a new Guardian ICM poll on the June 4th Euro elections out this afternoon which suggests that in spite of everything the main parities are all set for an increase of ten points between them compared with what happened in the last elections five years ago. This goes very much against other EU election polling…

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Why Hopi Sen is wrong about Labour being less popular Brown?

Why Hopi Sen is wrong about Labour being less popular Brown?

IpsoMORI July 2008 The data, surely, shows that the PM is a liability Earlier in the month the Labour blogger, Hopi Sen, was making the argument that the polls were showing Gordon Brown was more popular than his party and, therefore, any change of leader would have a negative rather than positive impact on Labour’s chances. Hopi based his case on the MORI monthly question when respondents rated their satisfaction with the government and their satisfaction with Brown. He argued…

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The 1st & 2nd favourites for Speaker named in expenses probe

The 1st & 2nd favourites for Speaker named in expenses probe

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart M – Th 11p / 10c Scamalot thedailyshow.com Daily Show Full Episodes Economic Crisis Political Humor Will Bercow and Beith be damaged by today’s revelations? With the MPs expense scandal now being featured on the US satire programme, the Daily Show, the Daily Telegraph’s investigation into MPs expenses starts its third week this morning with reports about the current favourite and second favourite in the next Speaker betting. The man who all the money…

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Tories lead by 12 points with Populus

Tories lead by 12 points with Populus

POLITICALBETTING EXCLUSIVE: CON 39 (nc) LAB 27(+1) LD 17 (-5) More than half those polled want an immediate general election I’ve been given to understand that a new poll by Populus for ITV news tonight with Westminster voting intentions will show the Tories remaining on 39% with Labour up one to 27% but with the Lib Dems taking the biggest hit – down five points to 17%. The comparisons are with the last survey from the firm ten days ago….

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Could it be Johnson against Cameron in July?

Could it be Johnson against Cameron in July?

What do we think of Brogan’s scenario? After the the first ousting of a speaker in more than three hundred years then anything is possible I suppose. So what do we think of Ben Brogan’s piece in the Telegraph this morning when he suggests the following? “..Around the Cabinet table, his (Brown) crude politicking provokes despair. There is also frustration at his inability to say whether he plans to punish those who have behaved wrongly. He judged Hazel Blears’s failure…

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Is this becoming a bonanza for MP hopefuls?

Is this becoming a bonanza for MP hopefuls?

Telegraph online How many seats are going to be opened up? There’s one group of people who are going to be absolutely delighted by the continued revelations about MPs in what’s becoming known as the “Manure Parliament“. These are those who have set their heart on becoming an MP and so far have not found a winnable seat. I would not be surprised if quite a few of them are waiting in front of their computers every evening for news…

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Expense-gate: The Disclosures continue…

Expense-gate: The Disclosures continue…

Telegraph online The Telegraph’s teaser for tonight If anybody thought that the Telegraph’s exposes of MPs’ expenses would end with the exit of Michael Martin then they’ll have to think again. For it’s back to the usual routine – a teaser put up in the early evening followed by the names involved from about 10pm. Day 14 of the disclosures promises us what’s billed as “perhaps the most bizarre claim uncovered so far – a £1,600 pond accessory.” Who could…

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Where are the party activists – particularly Labour ones?

Where are the party activists – particularly Labour ones?

Who is going to get the vote out a fortnight tomorrow? The following is entirely unscientific based entirely on anecdote from party workers I’ve spoken to in various parts of England. The message I’m getting is that there is very little evidence of election activity on the ground with Labour appearing to have the most problems. All the main parties are finding it a challenge in motivating their activists but those in Brown’s party seems to be the most reluctant….

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