There are other contests a well as Eastleigh Wirral MBC, Pensby and Thingwall (Con Defence) Last Local Election Result (2012): Lab 37, Con 22, Lib Dem 7 (Labour majority of 8) Local Elections 2010: Lib Dem 5,151 (37%) Con 4,582 (33%) Lab 3,190 (23%) UKIP 518 (4%) Green 448 (3%) (Lib Dem HOLD) Local Elections 2011: Con 1,881 (37%) Lab 1,636 (32%) Lib Dem 1,209 (24%) UKIP 196 (4%) Green 180 (4%) (Con GAIN from Lib Dem) Local Elections 2012:…
The 1pm #Eastleigh betting bulletin sees Ukip getting very close to CON for the 2nd place slot. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013 Number of bets placed today with Ladbrokes on #Eastleigh: 61% LDs, 27% UKIP, 7% CONS, 4% LAB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013 Pie chart showing Ladbrokes #Eastleigh up/down line mkt shares. You bet at 5/6 above below. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2013
How Betfair punters have seen the past three weeks Chart showing how CON #Eastleigh price has moved during campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing LD Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing UKIP Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Chart showing LAB Betfair Eastleigh price during the campaign twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 Betting should…
For a good account of what happened when C4’s Kathy Newan called up the Clegg LBC phone-in check here.
Based on last trade Betfair punters now make Tories a 16.7% chance to win #Eastleigh. twitter.com/byelection/sta… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 Predict the winning party & majority in votes This surely has been the biggest and most important by-election for 30 years and it certainly has been the one that has been most polled. We’ve had five published surveys in all and even with them you’d be hard-pressed to choose a winner. So what do you think? Just…
A pointer to tomorrow’s big by-election? The day before #Eastleigh – pie chart with latest YouGov daily poll twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013 How #Rennardgate is impacting on the Lib Dem shares in YouGov daily poll twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 27, 2013
Latest Next LD leader odds from Ladbrokes bit.ly/c5gpH6 and Bet365 bit.ly/g4saCk twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 Latest NIck Clegg specials betting with Ladbrokes. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013
If #Eastleigh goes the way of the Ashcroft poll we’ll have to revise our view of the power of the press twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 26, 2013 The influence is on the decline On the face of the Lib Dem should be taking a real beating in the polls at the moment. Since the Rennard story broke on Thursday evening there has been increasing coverage and the party’s response has been less than optimal. But what’s happened in…