Obama ups the ante over the Supreme Court nomination
BREAKING: President Obama says he will nominate a Supreme Court candidate who is indisputably qualified for the seat. — The Associated Press (@AP) February 16, 2016
EU Referendum punters unmoved by by drop in REMAIN phone poll position
With all eyes this week on the final stage of the EU talks there has been very little movement on the referendum outcome betting in spite of the movements away from REMAIN in the latest online and phone polls. So much depends on what comes out of this week and how Cameron puts it over. I always think that the PM is at his best when his back is to the wall and his worst then things are going well….
Trump and Clinton have double digit leads in first post debates South Carolina polling
First post debate South Carolina @pppolitics GOP survey hasTrump 35%Rubio 18%Cruz 18%Kasich 10%Carson 7%Bush 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2016 New post debates South Carolina Democratic poll from @pppolitics has Clinton 55%Sanders 34% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2016 After Iowa and New Hampshire the next in line comes the full primary on Saturday in South Carolina – a state with a very different demographic make up than the first two contests. This has a very high…
REMAIN leads drops by 10% in first post-Tusk talks EURef phone poll
New ComRes #EUref phone poll sees sharp drop in REMAIN lead. Now just 8% pic.twitter.com/DQhwRO5LTU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016 The oldies in the ComRes EURef phone poll, those of 65+ splitREMAIN 39%LEAVE 52% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016 ComRes/ITV EURef phone poll finds CON voters split with 45% supporting REMAIN and 48% LEAVE. 70% of GE2015 LAB voters say REMAIN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016 The challenge facing Dave is getting bigger I’ve…
Jeremy Hunt is doing even worse than Corbyn and Osborne in the latest YouGov leader ratings
Even CON voters give the Health Sec negative numbers YouGov’s February leader ratings are out and the bad news for the health secretary is that 17% of those sampled said he was doing WELL compared with 65% saying BADLY. What’s even more striking is that amongst those who voted CON at the general election the split was 36% WELL to 49% BADLY. Generally party supporters rate their own positively. The Hunt figures compare Corbyn’s 25% WELL to 59% BADLY overall….
The coming battle of the appointment of next Supreme Court judge will dominate US politics throughout the WH2016 campaign
NEW @CapX/@YouGov: By 57% to 37% Obama should nominate Scalia's successor https://t.co/IakiSVeZsn #PortraitOfAmerica pic.twitter.com/s1nMY0IQp9 — Tim Montgomerie (@MontieUSA) February 14, 2016 This is how the New York Times is reporting the ensuing battle in Washington over the appointment of a replacement on the Supreme Court for Justice Scalia who died over the weekend. “WASHINGTON — An epic Washington political battle took shape on Sunday after the death of Justice Antonin Scalia as Senate Republicans dug in and said they would…
The detailed data that suggests that Corbyn’s own generation, those of 65+, appear to have given up on Labour
Amongst Corbyn's own age group, those of 65+, just 11% tell ComRes they have favourable view of LAB leader, 71% say unfavourable — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2016 Pensioners are the fastest growing age group The figures above speak for themselves. They are based on a subsample of 471 which gives us a greater level of confidence. Those within this segment are more likely to be on the register and much more likely to vote. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB…
Bush gets his mojo back in the most explosive GOP debate yet
He’s the only one ready to tak on Trump Just caught up on the overnight GOP TV debate ahead of next weekend’s crucial South Carolina primary and what a humdinger it was. The 5.1 contenders still in the race (Carson is the 0.1) were at each other hammer and tongues right from the start. It made great TV. Having fewer of them on the stage is producing greater clarity and allowed much greater inter-reaction. What impressed me was how Jeb…