politicalbetting.com

If May does become PM then she can expect a polling honeymoon There’s a new national phone poll out from Survation which has CON 36%, LAB 32%, UKIP 12% and LD 9%. The poll also asked favourability questions about the five who were the Tory leadership race until Tuesday evening. The figures are in the chart above and show Theresa May in a totally dominating position with Michael Gove trailing badly. We are, of course, in the first stage of…

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Survation survey of 1000+ CON councillors finds May 46.2% Leadsom 21.8 Gove 5.1 DK/Refused 22.8 A statement from the May campaign .@TheresaMay2016 trying to kill off rumours her backers are planning vote for #Gove tomorrow to knock #Leadsom out pic.twitter.com/TwjWK3HgSK — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) July 6, 2016 More on Leadsom Attacks on Leadsom conitnue. Blasted for ‘extremist’ web posts on sex outside marriage and attacking gay adoption https://t.co/vrlhBVxniZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 6, 2016

The final decision is taken by the members in a postal ballot The CON race has moved on fast following tonight’s first round of MP voting and the decision of Crabb to drop out and back May. The next stage is Thursday’s second round of MP voting to decide the shortlist of two that will go to the members. Certainly the Home Secretary is in an enormously strong position coming out of the first round so well and now having…

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UPDATE Crabbe pulls out and backs May "I asked for nothing, she offered nothing" says #StephenCrabb on meeting #TheresaMay to give #ToryLeadership support https://t.co/ln7vnZOxD1 — Sky News (@SkyNews) July 5, 2016