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Category: UK Elections – others

Farage is going to find it hard NOT being the Ukip candidate in #Eastleigh

Farage is going to find it hard NOT being the Ukip candidate in #Eastleigh

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This surely must be one for the leader to lead On the face of it the Eastleigh by-election is ideal for Nigel Farage and Ukip. His party, one CCHQ official told me this afternoon, is probably better organised there than anywhere else in the UK. Back in May 2012 Ukip fielded candidates in every single seat in the council elections and achieved a vote share in double figures. On top of that there’s the local connection. Farage was a Ukip…

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If Huhne gets 12 months or more then we could see the first CON-LD by-election spat since the coalition was formed

If Huhne gets 12 months or more then we could see the first CON-LD by-election spat since the coalition was formed

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Huhne pleads guilty. If he’s jailed for a year he’ll lose his Eastleigh seat where LDs had maj of 3,864 at #GE2010 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2013 The full Eastleigh result from May 2010 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2013 Ladbrokes make the LDs evens FAV to hold Eastleigh if there is a by-election.6/4 CONS, 6/1 UKIP, 10/1 LAB. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2013 But what about a resurgent Labour?

The PB local elections special with Ukip strong in one of tonight’s seats

The PB local elections special with Ukip strong in one of tonight’s seats

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests Woolaston and Stourbridge Town (Dudley) Result of most recent council election (2012): Labour 41, Conservatives 30, Greens 1 (Labour overall majority of 10) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 2,714 (39%), Con 2,238 (32%), Lib Dem 913 (13%), UKIP 718 (10%), Green 393 (6%) Labour GAIN from Conservative     The electors of Stourbridge must be thinking there’s a great deal of déjà vu going on. Back in 1997, they were part of the hotly contested Stourbridge…

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Starting tomorrow the PB Thursday Night Local Elections Special

Starting tomorrow the PB Thursday Night Local Elections Special

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Join us to get first news of what’s happening From tomorrow there will be a new feature on the site – The PB Thursday Local Elections Special. This will provide a focus for the council by-elections that take place on many Thursdays when real voters cast real votes in real elections. I know, many current PBers have a fund of knowledge in this area and do, already feed in information. A briefing, written by Harry Hayfield, on the seats at…

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UKIP down at 2009 actual vote share in first YouGov 2014 Euro elections poll

UKIP down at 2009 actual vote share in first YouGov 2014 Euro elections poll

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UKIP down to 2009 actual vote level in first YouGov Euro elections poll. LAB +22, CON -1 LD -2 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2013 Surely Farage’s party should be doing better? The first YouGov poll fr the June 2014 Euro elections has, somewhat surprisingly, UKIP at exactly the same level as they achieved in June 2009. Given recent Westminster voting intention polling there had been speculation that UKIP could even finish in first place. Well they might…

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EdM, Dave and Nick should all be happy with first 2014 Euro elections poll

EdM, Dave and Nick should all be happy with first 2014 Euro elections poll

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LAB set to double 2009 vote share according to first 2014 Euro election poll. Ukip up but in 3rd place behind CON twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 7, 2013 Survation has UKIP up on 2009 but down to 3rd place My chart shows the findings of the weekend’s Survation poll on the 2014 Euro elections and compares the vote shares from June 2009 when the elections were last held. Then was very much a low point for the Brown…

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CON in lead in local by-elections in 2012 with Ukip on 6.13 percent

CON in lead in local by-elections in 2012 with Ukip on 6.13 percent

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Aggregate vote shares from all 198 local by-elections in 2012 show: CON 33.74: LAB 29.22: LD 19.15: UKIP 6.13 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 1, 2013 Thanks to Harry Hayfield for the data. It is important to note that not all parties contest each local council by election and that they do not, of themelves, constitute a representative sample of voters. By-elections take place whenever there is a need to replace a sitting councillor and this means that aggregates,…

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Labour makes it six out of six in the November by-elections

Labour makes it six out of six in the November by-elections

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As predicted by the betting markets three emphatic wins for LAB in the three by-elections twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2012 After the overnight by-elections Ladbrokes make it 2/1 shot that UKIP wins a seat at next general election. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2012 Ladbrokes is offering 4/1 that UKIP outvotes the Lib Dems at the next general election. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2012 An okay night for UKIP but still miles…

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