As the two leaders prepare for lunch Betfair punters give Trump about 40% chance of re-election TMay a 62% chance of surviving 2018
Data and charts from Betda.io Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Best of luck today Theresa – you are going to need it
Given Trump’s unpopularity in the UK this might just help TMay https://t.co/it50kll40a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 13, 2018 Trump humiliates and undermines the Prime Minister of the UK, in cahoots with Farage and Boris. Horrible. — Charlie Falconer (@LordCFalconer) July 12, 2018 With the American President, Donald Trump, on the second day of his visit to the UK the Sun is carrying an extraordinary interview with the President in which he gives his views on how Mrs May should…
If Trump bothers to read UK polls he won’t be pleased about how negatively he’s viewed in the UK
New YouGov polling on how Brits view Trump and Putin with party splits pic.twitter.com/Z9kQGlHrD2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 12, 2018 Both him & Putin viewed with almost the same level of unfavourably The football is over bar the third place play off and over the next couple of days the visit by the US President will dominate the media To mark this YouGov have just issued latest favourability ratings with a focus on Trump and Putin. I doubt if…
Across the UK political divide voters regard Theresa May as a much better leader than Donald Trump
Comparing him with the PM There’s little enthusiasm someone like Trump as British PM To coincide with the Trump visit the latest ICM/Guardian poll has a series of findings examining the attitudes of British voters to the current incumbent at the White House. The responses to two of the questions are featured above with breakdown on party support. The top one, comparing Trump with TMay, is interesting in that generally backers of parties other than the Tories are reluctant to…
If Betfair punters are right the Republicans are set to hold onto the House in the November midterms
Betdata.IO This would be a big victory for Trump While we are all focused on the Tories and Brexit in the UK the biggest political betting market at the moment continues to be the above one on the US midterm elections and, particularly, whether the Republicans can hold on to the House. The current RCP polling average has the Democrats 6.4% ahead but that’s not thought to be big enough to see change. In many states the congressional district boundaries…
Trump’s big deal: the Supreme Court
Wikimedia Commons November permitting, buying off evangelicals with nominations could change the future of America Donald Trump regards himself as the great deal-maker. As president, there’s not an awful lot of evidence to support his contention but then he’s never much been one for being overly worried about the evidence. Nearly a year and a half into his term, there’s no wall, nor any realistic prospect of one, his immigration reforms have resulted in concentration camps for children separated from…
Trump’s Gallup approval rating drops a net minus nine in a week
The immigration clampdown is hurting him and possibly his party We’ve now got the first Gallup approval ratings for the period entirely after the immigration clampdown that saw children being forcibly separated from their parents. His approval number is down 4 points in a week to 41% while his disapproval jumped 5 points to 55%. This reflects the hammering he has been getting in the media and even from parts of his own family. What made this particularly challenging for…
Trump’s hardline policy on immigrant children has become a testing time for the White House
Maintaining Republican party support looks challenging The polling is not good for the President. According to a CNN poll two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the practice of taking undocumented immigrant children from their families and putting them in government facilities on US borders, Only 28% approve. Among Republican voters 54% support the policy but 34% don’t. This all comes in the run-up to November’s midterm elections. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet