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Category: Tories

Could Cameron win a victory of 1997 proportions?

Could Cameron win a victory of 1997 proportions?

Has Labour’s time run out? Nick Sparrow, boss of ICM, has sent me an email in response to recent comments suggesting that August polling is somehow unreliable. He makes a strong case that this isn’t correct by looking at his polls in the August ahead of the past three general elections and what actually happened. Nick notes that comparing Guardian ICM polls for the August before a general election with the result you get:- August 1996 poll suggested that Labour…

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Labour’s poll gloom continues

Labour’s poll gloom continues

Guardian online Is there anything that Brown Central can do? The August ICM poll for the Guardian is out and like all other polls reporting this month it is simply more of the same. Labour in the doldrums in the 20s with the Tories in the 40s. The changes in the Guardian’s graphic, above, are with the last poll in the paper in July. Compared with the Sunday Mirror ICM poll the weekend before last the changes were CON -2…

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Is Cameron wrong to raise his family experiences of the NHS?

Is Cameron wrong to raise his family experiences of the NHS?

Mail online Or should Utley have left it well alone? There’s an interesting attack on David Cameron in the Mail which I’m surprised has not got more attention. For the paper’s sometimes controversial columnist, Tom Utley takes the Tory leader to task over the why he uses his family, including his late son, Ivan, in the NHS argument. Utley’s focus is on those who argue about the NHS by reducing everything to their personal experiences. “..I find it deeply depressing,…

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Has Brown’s response been like the Lisbon treaty signing?

Has Brown’s response been like the Lisbon treaty signing?

Should he have been making TV condemnations as well? Just looking at what happened yesterday with the release by the Scottish authorities of the Lockerbie bomber I cannot help but be reminded of Gordon Brown’s actions over the signing of the Lisbon Treaty. Then, it will be recalled, Brown was “unavoidably detained” on urgent business in London and so was unable to be part of the big signing ceremony with other EU leaders. So he flew in later and signed…

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Is this a smart idea for the Tories or not?

Is this a smart idea for the Tories or not?

Telegraph Could the strategy mean there’s even more exposure for Brown? A big discussion point on some Tory-inclined blogs today has been the Daily Telegraph story, quoting an unnamed shadow cabinet minister, that the party is planning, in that lovely term coined by the Lib Dems in 2005, a “decapitation strategy” to target the constituencies of several leading Labour figure. The paper quotes their source as saying: “..Certain Labour Party big beasts, and they know who they are, are already…

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Is Labour paying the price for the “easy years”?

Is Labour paying the price for the “easy years”?

Did they fail to keep up when the Tories were so feeble? I continue to be flabbergasted by Labour’s abject failure to score a hit over the Hannan-Tories-NHS affair. They were presented with everything they needed to impede the Cameron surge and have failed to capitalise. The Health secretary who is also a Cambridge English graduate, Andy Burnham, has simply been unable to find words that work and the result is that the story has lost almost all of its…

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Down Memory Lane: September 2007

Down Memory Lane: September 2007

YouGov: September 28th 2007 CON 32 LAB 43 LD 15 Populus: September 27 2007 CON 31 LAB 41 LD 17 Ipsos-MORI: September 26 2007 CON 31 LAB 44 LD 15 YouGov: September 25 2007 CON 33 LAB 44 LD 13 Ipsos-Mori: September 22 2007 CON 34 LAB 42 LD 14 ICM: September 21 2007 CON 33 LAB 39 LD 19

Is Labour losing the battle to be called “progressive”?

Is Labour losing the battle to be called “progressive”?

PoliticsHome Why’s Mandy’s message not getting through? Early last week we saw a furious outburst from Peter Mandelson following the use by his old foe George Osborne of the term “progressive” to describe the Conservatives. We ran a thread on it. This is a description that seems to touch a raw nerve within the Labour movement which was probably the back-ground to Mandy’s move. So what will the parties make of this new poll from PoliticsHome? For if Labour thought…

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