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Category: Theresa May

TMay’s decision to back the Syria raid without Commons approval was in the face of public opinion

TMay’s decision to back the Syria raid without Commons approval was in the face of public opinion

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Will there be a price to be paid? Was TMay right to order strikes on Syria without MPs backing? SurvationYes 30%No 54%DK 16% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 15, 2018 Do you support the UK bombing of Syria? SurvationYes 36%No 40%DK 24% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 15, 2018 Why did Corbyn oppose Syria raids?(Survation) Genuine belief raids were wrong 40%Opportunist bid to damage TMay 40% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 16, 2018 The Russian Government has become a force…

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Theresa May now level-pegging with “Don’t know” as to who would make the best PM

Theresa May now level-pegging with “Don’t know” as to who would make the best PM

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Corbyn, as almost ever, trails behind This polling, from the latest YouGov, rather sums up British politics at the moment. When respondents were asked who would make the best prime minister 37% said Mrs May which is exactly the same number who said they didn’t know Neither of the main party leaders is able to show widespread support. On the party splits just 70% of current Labour voters opted for Mr Corbyn. Mrs May gets 90% of Tory ones. Of…

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For the first time since GE2017 Corbyn has slipped behind TMay in the leader ratings – can he recover?

For the first time since GE2017 Corbyn has slipped behind TMay in the leader ratings – can he recover?

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How YouGov’s party leader favourability tracker has changed since TMay called GE2017 The chart shows the trend in TMay’s net favourability lead over Corbyn since she called the election jut over a year ago. The figures are calculated by taking the PM’s net rating and subtracting Mr. Corbyn’s net figure. As can be seen this really tells the story of British politics over the past year – from a position where Mrs. May was totally dominant to the turnaround at…

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Moggsy edges up to a new high in the next CON leader betting

Moggsy edges up to a new high in the next CON leader betting

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For the tihrd month in succession ConHome has him as favoured next CON leader We have not looked at this betting market for some time – who is going to be the next Conservative leader after Theresa May – and the latest ConHome survey with Rees-Mogg once again the favoured choice of members is a good peg. You should note that this is NOT an opinion poll and cannot be compared with, say, the recent YouGov LAB members’ survey. But…

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Suddenly TMay’s survival chances look a lot stronger

Suddenly TMay’s survival chances look a lot stronger

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There’s a Betfair market that hasn’t attracted much attention or liquidity on which of May/Corbyn/Cable/Sturgeon will be the first leader out. I think it would have been better to confine it to the PM and LOTO. What’s been striking is how over the past fortnight Mrs. May, who looked a basket case earlier in the month rated as an 80% chance of being first out, is now at 50%. Meanwhile Corbyn, who was at 2% has now edged up to…

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If its Corbyn versus May again next time my money would be on the Tories

If its Corbyn versus May again next time my money would be on the Tories

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Tories now back as odds-on favourites We could be more than four years away from the next general election and it is possible that neither Corbyn or Theresa May will be leading the parties by then. But if the two were to be the main party leaders next time, whenever that is, my money would be on the Conservatives. Firstly it is always the case that we look at elections through the prism of what happened last time rather than…

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Theresa May may well yet achieve her ambition of leading her party at the next election

Theresa May may well yet achieve her ambition of leading her party at the next election

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There’s no talk now of letters calling for a confidence vote One of the features about the current Russia crisis is what it is doing to perceptions of Theresa May. The latest polling overnight showing her getting huge backing from voters for the way she is handling things reflect how her approach is very much resonating with the public mood. I thought yesterday her walk-about in Salisbury contrasted so much with some of the awful public appearances at the general…

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So crunch day on Russia for the PM

So crunch day on Russia for the PM

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It is now Wednesday and the Russians have not done what was demanded of them by the PM over the Salisbury attack and so it is up to her and the government to announce what they are doing. We all know that you don’t make a threat unless you are ready to follow it through otherwise you just look a push-over. My sense is that she had thought that through before her statement to the Commons on Monday and that…

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