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Category: Scotland

Is this the start of Labour’s recovery?

Is this the start of Labour’s recovery?

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Does the stunning victory have a national significance? As expected Labour have cruised to a victory in the by election caused by the resignation of Michael Martin. Technically this is a gain for the party because previously the seat was held by the Speaker. It’s the numbers themselves that are quite dramatic and will give real heart to the party as it plans the general election campaign. These were:- Labour – 12,231 votes (59.39%) SNP – 4,120 votes (20%) Tory…

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Should you take George Galloway’s Glasgow NE tip?

Should you take George Galloway’s Glasgow NE tip?

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Is he right about the SNP’s chances? Last night I had a slot on the George Galloway show on TalkSport and we had a good conversation about the current political betting markets. We got on to next month’s Glasgow NE by election when he surprised me by tipping the SNP. Galloway is from Glasgow and was a Labour MP for one of its seats. He must know the workings of the city’s Labour machine inside out so I take his…

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Is a Labour victory a near certainty?

Is a Labour victory a near certainty?

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Wikipedia Are there any chances of an upset? At last we have it – the date for the Glasgow NE by election to fill the vacancy created when former speaker, Michael Martin, stepped down as an MP in June. It’ll take place on November 12th which is just over a year after Labour’s stunning victory in Glenrothes when extraordinarily the total of votes cast for the party exceeded that at the general election. Clearly all the parties, particularly Labour, have…

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MORI suggests Labour could lose half its Scottish MPs

MORI suggests Labour could lose half its Scottish MPs

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Is this a foretaste of what the rest of the UK will be like? The embargo on tonight’s MORI poll on voting intentions has been broken elsewhere and is in the public domain. Accordingly I feel that we ought to report it here as well. The big news is contained in the Westminster voting figures in the panel above and point to a LAB>SNP swing of just under 14% – a movement which if replicated on polling day would see…

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Has the SNP discovered the Mandela polling secret?

Has the SNP discovered the Mandela polling secret?

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When mentioning his name might get better results? All the discussion over leading over allege leading questions in he ComRes poll have provided a peg fo me to highlight one of my favourite polls ever. In the build-up in 2005 to the resolution London’s big for the 2012 Olympics a poll was commissioned to try to show that people in the capital backed the idea. This was the series of questions in the order that they were put:- “Are you…

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Is the problem now Brown’s handling – not the release itself?

Is the problem now Brown’s handling – not the release itself?

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Telegraph Can we expect more contradictions to come out? The war of words over the release of the Lockerbie bomber takes moves forward another step this morning with an interview in the Daily Telegraph which appears to contradict what the Prime Minister was saying earlier in the week. Then Brown was adamant that “There was no conspiracy, no cover-up, no double dealing, no deal on oil, no attempt to instruct Scottish ministers, no private assurances.” That’s all very hard to…

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Could Jack Straw himself be behind these stories?

Could Jack Straw himself be behind these stories?

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Times How close will the Megrahi case get to Mr. Brown?? This is the key extract from this morning’s main lead in the Times that follows on from the leaked letter in yesterday’s Sunday Times. “Gordon Brown was dragged into the centre of the row over the early release of the Lockerbie bomber last night after it emerged that a key decision that could have paved the way for the terrorist to serve his sentence in Libya was approved by…

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