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How the same ComRes sample wanted both statutory media regulation AND a press not restricted by legally binding rules

How the same ComRes sample wanted both statutory media regulation AND a press not restricted by legally binding rules

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Confused state of public opinon ahead of Leveson? Apparently contradictory findings from ComRes bit.ly/Y7DzLa twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2012 Whatever side you are on there’s something for you in this poll A ComRes online poll for ITV News overnight neatly sums up the dilemma over press regulation. Look at the chart above. When asked “In light of the Leveson Inquiry the Government should introduce statutory regulation of the media” those in the ComRes sample agreed by 51%…

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The polling suggests that Europe is being much-overstated as a factor behind the UKIP surge

The polling suggests that Europe is being much-overstated as a factor behind the UKIP surge

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According to YouGov post-2010 general election polling just 41% of UKIP voters cited Europe as a factor. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2012 Thanks to Anthony Wells of YouGov for linking to this polling taken after the 2010 general election which sought, amongst other things, to work out why people had voted the way they did. The responses from UKIP voters when asked to name what were the three key issues for them are showing in…

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Britain and the EU – the party divide

Britain and the EU – the party divide

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Britain’s relationship with Europe: How voters from different parties see it differently – today’s YouGov twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 25, 2012 The chart has been prepared from the latest polling by YouGov on attitudes towards the EU. On the main issue of how people would vote in a referendum the overall split is 49% withdraw and 32% remain. The chart shows how voters for the parties divide. There is no column for UKIP because YouGov do not provide…

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While UKIP supporters are in the news here’s some polling from last weekend’s ComRes survey

While UKIP supporters are in the news here’s some polling from last weekend’s ComRes survey

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The BNP in strong 2nd place in “other” party preferences of UKIP voters from ComRes last week.See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 24, 2012 Because UKIP are doing well the sub-sample on which this was based was on 173.

How saying goodbye to Gordon and being in opposition has boosted Labour “likeability” numbers

How saying goodbye to Gordon and being in opposition has boosted Labour “likeability” numbers

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Being in opposition is doing wonders for Labour’s “likeability” ratings. See Ipsos-MORI data 2007-2012 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2012 But what will it look like if they return to power? The chart above is based on Ipsos-MORI’s October “Leaders and Parties” polling. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

Lynton Crosby’s biggest challenge? Turning round Dave’s “In touch with concerns of ordinary people” ratings

Lynton Crosby’s biggest challenge? Turning round Dave’s “In touch with concerns of ordinary people” ratings

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David Cameron’s YouGov “In touch with ordinary people” ratings Oct 2007 – Nov 2012 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2012 This has to be solved or the Tories have a Romney-type problem Looking back over the last months of the White House race the biggest problem the Republicans had was that their standard-bearer was not seen as being in touch or understanding the problems of the middle classes. This became the peg on which Obama’s successful get the…

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The point of this Michael Ashcroft poll from Mid Beds seems to be to get Nadine Dorries de-selected by the local Tories

The point of this Michael Ashcroft poll from Mid Beds seems to be to get Nadine Dorries de-selected by the local Tories

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An Ashcroft poll of Mid Beds voters has Nadine right at bottom on the positing/negative ratings. bit.ly/SdnU8b twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 22, 2012 There’s a new Michael Ashcroft poll just out taken in the ultra-safe blue seat of Mid-Befordshire where, of course, Nadine Dorries is MP. One set of question asked the sample of 1,500 to rate how positively or negatively a selection of prominent male politicians in comparison with Nadine. The figures are above. The danger is…

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How men and women are viewing politics differently from the huge 8,000 sample Michael Ashcroft poll

How men and women are viewing politics differently from the huge 8,000 sample Michael Ashcroft poll

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The gender voting intention split in the 8,103 sample in the Ashcroft phone poll. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2012 We often talk about gender splits in different polls but as we all know subsets can be subject to quite large margins of errors. The new Michael Ashcroft telephone poll with its massive 8,103 sample should give us a better picture which is why I have highlighted the numbers. To put that into context the monthly ICM poll…

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