Just 30 percent of those sampled by YouGov want to see a LAB majority
A LAB majority only 1% ahead of a CON one in YouGov’s preferred election outcome tracker. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 17, 2013
Starting tomorrow the PB Thursday Night Local Elections Special
Join us to get first news of what’s happening From tomorrow there will be a new feature on the site – The PB Thursday Local Elections Special. This will provide a focus for the council by-elections that take place on many Thursdays when real voters cast real votes in real elections. I know, many current PBers have a fund of knowledge in this area and do, already feed in information. A briefing, written by Harry Hayfield, on the seats at…
UKIP down at 2009 actual vote share in first YouGov 2014 Euro elections poll
UKIP down to 2009 actual vote level in first YouGov Euro elections poll. LAB +22, CON -1 LD -2 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2013 Surely Farage’s party should be doing better? The first YouGov poll fr the June 2014 Euro elections has, somewhat surprisingly, UKIP at exactly the same level as they achieved in June 2009. Given recent Westminster voting intention polling there had been speculation that UKIP could even finish in first place. Well they might…
The Clegg masochism strategy: The first leadership ratings have him up a net 9pc in a week
Nick Clegg’s net YouGov ratings at best point since March 2012. Now minus 45%. In Sept they were -63%. LBC effect? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2013 Today’s net -45% the best in getting of for a year Piles of polling overnight including, as every Sunday morning, the YouGov leadership ratings. Cameron sees a net rise of 1 to minus 18%; Ed Miliband a net increase of 3 to minus 20% and Nick Clegg up 9 to minus…
As we await another bumper poll for #Ukip – Ladbrokes open a market on the party’s general election vote share
Ukip gen election vote share of less than 5% the 5/4 fav on Ladbrokes new UKIP vote share market bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 12, 2013 Will the grumpy old white men stick with Farage? Tonight we’ll see what looks like another great poll for Nigel Farage’s party from Opinium for the Observer. In preparation the pollster issued a press release trying to explain the methodological reason why it thought its UKIP numbers were amongst the highest. In…
By May 2015 Cameron’s decision to campaign hard against AV might not look very smart
How UKIP is eating into the CON vote – pie chart of CON 2010 voters from today’s YouGov data. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2013 Under FPTP LAB is the main winner The pie chart above is derived from today’s YouGov polling and shows the current voting intentions of those who supported Dave’s party in 2010. The 2010 data is based on polling carried out by YouGov immediatly after the election and not how polling respondents remember it…
How the first YouGov poll of 2013 compares with its opening polls for the past five years
YouGov’s first poll of the year 2008-2013. See chart showing trend. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 3, 2013
ICM data shows that the 65+ group, the one most likely to vote, is the one most opposed to gay marriage
ICM figures showing how support for gay marriage drops sharply with age. 65+the fastest growing segment for UKIP. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 2, 2013 Does this have political impications? The above is based on data from last week’s ICM poll and shows what could be a political challenge – paricuarly for the Tories. For it’s the blue team which does better amongst the over 65s and it is this age group, particularly the men, who have most switched…