If it’s good for the blues you’ll get this before midnight YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Labour’s lead just six points – CON 35%, LAB 41%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 9%. Can Cameron sustain the EU bounce? — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) January 28, 2013 If it’s not then you’ll have to wait till 6am for this Update: Labour lead at 9 – Latest YouGov/The Sun results 29th Jan – CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 11%, UKIP 8%; APP -31 y-g.co/YfuYSG — YouGov (@YouGov)…
Was that the Tory EU referendum bounce that was? Today’s LAB lead 9% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 30, 2013 Was that the referendum bounce that was? At 8am last Wednesday morning we were glued to our TV sets for Camerons’s long promised speech on UK’s relationship with the EU. The promise of an in-out referendum was a big one and something that will could dominate the #GE2015 election campaign. Initially the polls barely moved but then over the…
In sharp contrast to online polls the 1st phone survey since Dave’s EU speech has Ukip up to 10%. www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=55988 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2013 ComRes/Indy poll has CON 32/LAB 39/LD 10/Ukip 10 We now only get three telephone polls each month which is a great pity. They cost a lot more to mount than an online survey and I take them more seriously. Tonight’s ComRes poll for the Independent sees the Tories gaining a bit of…
LAB lead 12% in first post Cameron EU speech daily poll CON 31(nc): LAB 43(+2): LD 11(-1):Ukip 10(nc). twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 24, 2013 We need to wait till weekend before getting proper picture If YouGov were following their usual pattern fieldwork would have started at 5pm on Tuesday evening and continued until 5pm yesterday. We do not know what proportion of the sample was before and afterwards and whether there was any difference in the response pattern….
LAB lead down to 5% in the January ICM poll.m.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 21, 2013 CON 1% ahead with men but 16% behind with women With a record for accuracy and polling innovation going back over two decades the telephone survey by ICM for the Guardian is the polling event of the month. The firm is widely regarded as “the gold standard”. The latest numbers just published see the LDs edging back up 2 to 15%, the…
An extended chart showing all YouGov EU referendum polling since last May’s local elections twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2013 The bookies tighten the odds on a “remain” outcome Until this morning those pressing for an in/out EU referendum have been buoyed by their almost certain belief, supported by the polling, that the outcome would be a vote to leave All they had to do was to get agreement on a referendum and all would move their way…
Latest YouGov Westminster voting intentions – CON 33%, LAB 42%, LD 11%, UKIP 7%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2013 YouGov’s sensational 2014 Euro elections polling with comparisons on last week.See table twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2013 YouGov: staying in now has a 6% lead when people are asked how they would vote in an EU referendum.Last week leave was 7% ahead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 20, 2013 If YouGov is right there’ve been big…
Pie chart showing the Gallup poll break-down on support for the Obama plans for stronger gun laws twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 19, 2013 But he’s got a big battle ahead Tomorrow morning, in private because it is a Sunday, Barack Obama will be sworn in to start his second term in the White House. The big public ceremony takes place on Monday. He’s already made clear that a key early objective is his plan, announced on Wednesday, for…