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LAB lead down to just 3 percent with Ipsos-MORI

LAB lead down to just 3 percent with Ipsos-MORI

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The Ipsos-MORI voting figures showing LAB with bigger lead amongst all who had voting preference.Ukip on 11% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2013 Even with LAB’s down to 34% with a 3% lead they’d still get an overall maj Electoral Calculus goo.gl/kvYwh twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2013 Update – the latest Ipsos-MORI leader ratings Latest leader ratings from Ipsos-MORI with Farage out scoring all. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2013

YouGov appears to have changed the way it deals with Ukip and is now prompting for the party

YouGov appears to have changed the way it deals with Ukip and is now prompting for the party

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Bigger YouGov shares for Ukip coming up?They appear to now include Ukip in first prompt. See this from @redukipper twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2013 If the firm’s critics are correct then expect bigger Ukip shares Above is a screen shot of YouGov polling questionnaire which shows that Ukip is now included in the prompt on the main voting intention question. Until now those polled wanting to say Ukip have had to click the “some other party” option…

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The rise of Ukip and CON backing for same sex marriage: Is it more than a coincidence?

The rise of Ukip and CON backing for same sex marriage: Is it more than a coincidence?

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Just look at how 2010 CON voters view the same sex marriage issue compared with those who now say they are voting for the party. The first group show by 53% to 39% that they are against. Compare that on the drop down menu in the chart above with current CON voters. They are in favour by 48% to 41%. Look also at the emphatic opposition from current UKIP voters. The poll also shows how 24% of those who voted…

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This morning’s YouGov should ease some of the Tory jitters

This morning’s YouGov should ease some of the Tory jitters

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After the record lows CON up 3 Ukip down 3 The changes in today’s YouGov are all within the margin of error – even so they will be enough to relieve some of the pressure on the blue team. Not only will they be pleased to be back in the 30s the changes all seem to have been at UKIP’s expense. As we always say we need to see more results like this before we can draw many conclusions. But…

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With 17 months to go the Scottish #IndyRef YES appears to have a mountain to climb

With 17 months to go the Scottish #IndyRef YES appears to have a mountain to climb

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Nice infographic from Ipsos-MORI for today’s Scotland poll which has NO 28% ahead. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Now just 23% of Scotland’s women back the plan Ipsos-MORI chart showing how different Scottish subgroups responded to the #indyref question twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Salmond’s deputy tops the Scottish leader ratings Alex Salmond once again being out done by his deputy in the latest Ipsos-MORI Scottish leader ratings twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May…

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YouGov’s latest daily poll has the Tories slumping to the lowest point ever with the firm

YouGov’s latest daily poll has the Tories slumping to the lowest point ever with the firm

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And LAB drops to 15 month low as UKIP surges The figures from the latest News International daily poll by YouGov are above and show the continued damage that the dramatic rise of Ukip is having particularly on the Tories. Since YouGov started polling after the 2001 General Election the blues have never been on this level. The LAB 38% is the lowest for them since February 20th 2012. Only the LDs in this survey seem relatively unaffected. In terms…

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YouGov finds CON voters more hostile to return of Nadine than the public as a whole

YouGov finds CON voters more hostile to return of Nadine than the public as a whole

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Polling carried out BEFORE the news of Nadine’s reinstatement And Ukip voters weren’t that keen on the prospect of her switching My whip has been restored with no conditions other than those which apply to any party MP. Work continues as normal — Nadine Dorries MP (@NadineDorriesMP) May 8, 2013

Saying you will vote for Ukip at GE2015: The great divider between the generations

Saying you will vote for Ukip at GE2015: The great divider between the generations

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28% of the 60+ group but just 6% of the 25-39s This poll is the first one to be published where all the fieldwork took place after the results of Thursday’s local elections became known. There’s one slight caveat. Polling that takes place over long holiday weekends can sometimes produce odd results. With this one YouGov started on Bank Holiday Monday. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB Honoured to be ‘followed’ by @msmithsonpb -psephological…

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