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Category: Polls

How adding the words “and jobs” to the best party on the economy question gives a very different outcome

How adding the words “and jobs” to the best party on the economy question gives a very different outcome

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Today we saw the YouGov “best party” ratings on seven key policy areas. The economy one saw the CON lead increasing to 12%. Last month we had Ipsos-MORI asking broadly the same question with findings that were not too different from YouGov. The odd one out here is the Ashcroft marginal seats polling also published last month. Here the question was slightly different because the words “AND JOBS” were added to the best party on the economy question. No doubt…

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YouGov finds big decline in those thinking that LAB will win a majority

YouGov finds big decline in those thinking that LAB will win a majority

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How the landscape has changed since the May locals Today’s YouGov for the Sunday Times with changes on Thursday’s poll:- CON 33-2 LAB 38= LD 11+2 UKIP 13+3 It also sees quite strong backing from supporters of all parties for Ed Miliband in his battle with the Daily Mail. Looking forward the poll repeated a question last asked in the immediate aftermath of the May local elections – “What do you think is the most LIKELY result of the next…

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Dave’s lead as “Best PM” is nearly wiped out when you add Nigel Farage to the equation

Dave’s lead as “Best PM” is nearly wiped out when you add Nigel Farage to the equation

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Tracker questions now need to include UKIP Even when things were at their worst in the polls for the Tories party loyalists clung onto to one polling tracker – who voters saw as “Best PM” where as the chart shows Dave had enjoyed large and in the summer increasing leads. This helped fuel the strong pro-Dave narrative that we saw in the build-up to the conference season. Ed could never be PM, many were arguing, because he was so far…

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12 days ago Opinium found more CON voters than LAB ones saying their party would win

12 days ago Opinium found more CON voters than LAB ones saying their party would win

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Would it be the same today? As we’ve go into the last day of conference season 2013 one thing’s for sure, the political world does looks different from early September when the Lib Dems gathered in Glasgow. There was fairly sober but surprisingly upbeat LD conference; the UKIP one not shaping up quite as Farage planned; the drama of EdM’s speech and his commitment on energy prices; and of course the current Tory event which has been somewhat overshadowed by…

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Marf’s latest and a look at the today’s main polling news

Marf’s latest and a look at the today’s main polling news

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If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Chart from @YouGov showing which groups in society Tories are seen as being close to Big challenges there See pic.twitter.com/ooPlgBzdbK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2013 New Populus online poll has Lab 39 (+2) Cons 36 (+2) LD 11 (-1) UKIP 7 (-2) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2013 Look at the unweighted/weighted contrast from Populus

The polling figures that could lay to rest any idea of a CON-UKIP electoral alliance

The polling figures that could lay to rest any idea of a CON-UKIP electoral alliance

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What happened when voters were asked by YouGov how a CON-UKIP alliance would impact on their GE2015 preferences On the face of it this seems odd. For in the comparison standard poll CON and UKIP together had combined support of 44%. Yet just 35% told the pollsters that they would vote for a CON-UKIP alliance. What happened to the other 9%? This was the question that YouGov put after the standard one:- “Imagine that UKIP and the Conservatives agreed a…

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Why EdM thinks he’s on to a winner with energy prices

Why EdM thinks he’s on to a winner with energy prices

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The YouGov polling that’s said to have been behind LAB’s move Thanks to James Plunkett of the Energy Foundation and George Eaton of the New Statesman for highlighting this. The party cross-tab on this are interesting. A total of 51% of CON voters rated household bills compared with 46% of LAB ones. Of the list presented the one that is applicable to most people is “household bills” which might have impacted on the outcome. UPDATE – More YouGov polling is…

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Fewer don’t knows and a greater certainty to vote give the LDs a 3 percent post-conference boost

Fewer don’t knows and a greater certainty to vote give the LDs a 3 percent post-conference boost

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The Monday Populus online poll it out and shows CON, LAB and UKIP unchanged with the Lib Dems moving up from 11% to 14% Looking at the detail and comparing it with other recent polls from the firm most of the movement for the LDs is as a result of fewer GE2010 voters who were saying don’t know now saying they are voting for Clegg’s party. There is also a greater certainty to vote. All this is fairly normal for…

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