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Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

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January @IpsosMORI Issues Index out & immigration now jt 1st with economy See pic.twitter.com/OVbmvJitFi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 In Jan 2013 concern about economy was 30% pts higher than immigration – gap now closed http://t.co/csa4Xt3KDq pic.twitter.com/F8k2SR8dWu — Bobby Duffy (@BobbyIpsosMORI) January 28, 2014 Women less concerned about immigration than men. See concern levels for different groups in this @IpsosMORI chart pic.twitter.com/V7VG7wpMw9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Declining concerns about the economy take away a blue strong-point…

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ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

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9% tell ComRes/ITV News poll that George Osborne has made their family better off. See this & other findings pic.twitter.com/FeFg9pEZ38 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 The groups in society that those sampled by ComRes/ITV thought the coalition government understands the concerns of pic.twitter.com/jeq6WXBXm0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Perhaps this is the backcloth for UKIP’s progress?

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

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But YouGov finds more people are opposed We’ve now got the second poll on the Ed Balls tax plan announced on Saturday. It’s from YouGov for today’s Times and finds 61% to 26% against. The detail hasn’t been published yes but the paper reports that LAB voters are overwhelmingly supportive, while 52% cent of CON supporters are opposed.45% think the move would help the economy, 19% say it would cause damage. Labour will be pleased that this key policy continues…

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Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

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And YouGov has lead down to 2% The monthly ComRes/Indy survey is one of just three monthly national polls remaining which use the telephone and its publication, usually at the end of the month, is always an occasion. The latest party shares with changes on December are in the chart above and as can be seen the big move has been LAB down 4 while UKIP has gone up by the same amount. The result is that Miliband’s party now…

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Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

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Check out the interactive chart Each week, as we know, YouGov carries out four polls for the Sun and one for its News International stable-mate, the Sunday Times. The result is a mass of polling data that sometimes it is hard to see the big picture. This is the reaon why over the past few weeks I have been producing a weekly average of the party shares YouGov daily polls in order that this might be a good way of…

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Suddenly independence looks within Salmond’s grasp in new ICM poll

Suddenly independence looks within Salmond’s grasp in new ICM poll

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Time to start betting on YES There’s a new IndyRef poll in Scotland on Sunday from ICM – the pollster that got the 2011 AV referendum most right predicting the final result to within a small fraction of a percent. The figures saw YES up 5% and NO down 5% compared with the last in September. The initial split in the poll was 54-46 but that closed to 53-47 when those sampled were pressed further for a view. Very interestingly…

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The Tory survival plan is based on the Lib Dems staying strong in CON-LAB battlegrounds but collapsing in CON-LD ones

The Tory survival plan is based on the Lib Dems staying strong in CON-LAB battlegrounds but collapsing in CON-LD ones

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The evidence suggests that it’s working the other way round It’s been repeated often enough on PB that an essential part of Labour’s polling position is based on the very large proportion of 2010 LD voters who’ve now switched to Labour. If this hadn’t happened or starts to slip away then EdM’s dreams of becoming PM are in trouble. So far, at least, the evidence is that such a move that is even more pronounced in the key LAB-CON marginals…

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By 40% to 39% men say Rennard should be allowed to remain in LDs. By 43% to 27% women say he shouldn’t

By 40% to 39% men say Rennard should be allowed to remain in LDs. By 43% to 27% women say he shouldn’t

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What we have is a gender and a generational divide There’s a YouGov poll in the Times this morning in which there’s the first detailed questioning on whether Lord Rennard he should be allowed to stay with the Lib Dems or leave following the allegations of sexual harassment According to the paper’s report 40% said he should stay and 39% said he should leave. Among women, the split was 43% leave with only 27% saying he should stay. Amongst Lib…

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