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With the LAB leadership nomination stage coming to an end punters are getting a tad nervous about Starmer

With the LAB leadership nomination stage coming to an end punters are getting a tad nervous about Starmer

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Today marks the end of the second stage of LAB’s leadership election – the period when CLPs and affiliated organisations have made their nominations. As can be seen from the betting chart everything appeared to be going right for ex-DPP and Shadow BrexSec, Keir Starmer. Four days ago he reached his peak in the betting a 90% chance. That’s now started to edge down and as can be seen he’s now at 84%. It is hard to say what’s driving…

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“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

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Good numbers for Starmer While all the focus has been on Iowa the LAB leadership contest is trudging on with the postal ballot of the the selectorate not due until next month. This poll, NOT of selectorate members but the regular phone poll from Ipsos-MORI of GB adults, adds further to Starmer’s position and no doubt his team will be more than ready to make this available when the postal election starts. Labour has lost four general elections on the…

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The Starmer juggernaut storms on and he’s now a 78% chance on Betfair

The Starmer juggernaut storms on and he’s now a 78% chance on Betfair

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So far, 264 CLPs have nominated candidates to be leader of the Labour Party. Keir Starmer: 154 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 70 Lisa Nandy: 28 Emily Thornberry: 12 pic.twitter.com/DPfceU7RXd — CLP Nominations (@CLPNominations) February 4, 2020 Unless LAB members vote in a very different way in the postal ballot compared with what is happening at the constituency party level or else Keir Starmer makes some massive cock-up between now and April 2nd then he is an absolute certainty to succeed Corbyn. One…

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Another week starts and Thornberry continues to struggle finding CLPs to back her

Another week starts and Thornberry continues to struggle finding CLPs to back her

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Keir Starmer: 44 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 18 Lisa Nandy: 10 Emily Thornberry: 3 As can be seen the shadow foreign secretary, Emily Thornberry, continues to find the going tough in her effort to get on the members’ ballot. She needs 33 constituency parties but following her early rush she remains stuck on three. . It had been thought that following the success of Nandy, Long-Bailey and Starmer in getting over the line then constituency parties might look at her position more…

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With 49 CLPs now having decided just under two thirds are going to Starmer

With 49 CLPs now having decided just under two thirds are going to Starmer

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Keir Starmer: 32 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 7 Lisa Nandy: 7 Emily Thornberry: 3 After what has been the biggest night so far of CLP meetings the overall picture is looking broadly the same and the big outstanding question is whether the Shadow Foreign Secretary, Emily Thornberry will make the cut. Thanks to the excellent @clpnominations for his regularly updated Twitter feed for what is actually going on at the branch meetings keeping up an excellent running total of the LAB nomination…

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LAB leadership betting: Nandy edges up closer to RLB but Starmer remains the firm favourite

LAB leadership betting: Nandy edges up closer to RLB but Starmer remains the firm favourite

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Stamer’s big worry must be the length of the campaign We have not looked at the LAB leadership betting since Jess Phillips dropped out and as can be seen from the latest chart the man movement has been for Lisa Nandy . This follows her latest union nomination moving her to within a whisper of getting onto the members ballot that goes out in March. The remaining question is whether Emily Thornberry will make it onto the ballot. She is…

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New LAB member polling has them rating Corbyn as their most favourable ever

New LAB member polling has them rating Corbyn as their most favourable ever

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Jeremy Corbyn is the most popular leader of the past century among Labour members (partly because a quarter don’t seem to know who Clement Attlee is) Corbyn 71% favourable viewMiliband 70%Smith 67%Attlee 66%Brown 65%Wilson 62%Blair 37%https://t.co/Zx9bgxPaaj pic.twitter.com/7nB3NIcE2z — YouGov (@YouGov) January 21, 2020 A reminder to LAB members about why so many GE2017 voters defected last month Mike Smithson