By 58% to 42% those polled by BMG say Smith would make best leader. Smith wins best comparison by 62 to 38https://t.co/TaOtCC9Lct — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 16, 2016 From today’s PB YouGov poll The response from JC's own generation, 65+, looks terrible for Labour. These people vote pic.twitter.com/aseafF5YNi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 16, 2016
As the table shows May is a net plus 18% while Corbyn a net minus 28%. 80% of Conservative voters are favourable towards Theresa May, compared to 60% who are favourable towards David Cameron and 55% who are favourable towards Boris Johnson. · 43% of 2015 Labour voters are favourable towards Jeremy Corbyn, compared to 30% who are unfavourable towards him. 17% are favourable towards Owen Smith, against 25% who are unfavourable towards him. · With 76% of Britons unfavourable…
Owen Smith source says private polling shows Corbyn on less than 50% for the first time with "a lot of don't knows". — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) August 10, 2016 Owen Smith team need to publish actual poll rather than just brief journos. If JC really below 50% then actual data would have big impact — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2016 This is the sort of development that drives me crazy. If Smith really does have a private poll with…
Latest party membership totals: Parliament Research Briefing One of the most extraordinary phenomenon of modern UK political times has been the massive increase in Labour’s membership since GE2015. The figures are just astounding and there is no parallel. Membership, May 6th 2015: 201,293 Membership, January 10th 2016: 388,407 Membership, August 2016: 515,000 From a political organisational point of view this is amazing because the general view is that more members mean more people ready and able to carry out the…
It’s pretty clear that Corbyn has won the re-run, and talk of trying once more next year has faded amid eye-rolling on all sides at the thought of doing it all over again. Instead, the hard-core anti-Corbyn wing has started to talk about a split. This could take two forms: A Parliament-only split. The objective would be to win over more than half the MPs and persuade the Speaker that this meant that the rebels were the real official opposition…
Don Brind on how Corbyn’s out of line with his shadow chancellor For someone who insisted for years that Twitter wouldn’t catch on I’m pathetically pleased these days when one of my tweets gets liked. I was somewhat surprised to get a “like” from a committed Corbynite Mrs Gee. I had told her “I’m a bit of a fan of John McDonnell — when he’s doing his day job”. The qualification was crucial. By day job I meant Shadow Chancellor and…
https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/762596287661412352 #Breaking Five new members of the Labour Party win High Court battle over right to vote in leadership election pic.twitter.com/zwwbh4M4lu — PA Media (@PA) August 8, 2016 FOR SALE: Spare vote in Labour leadership contest. One previous, careful owner. Unused. £25 o.n.o — Robert Harris (@Robert___Harris) August 8, 2016 https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/762592462732926976 It is very hard to come to a view about what will be the electoral impact of today’s judgement. There is so much overlap between the new members who…
How Britain’s politics have totally changed Back at the end of April when the Tories were totally split on the referendum YouGov tested how Corbyn did in its “best PM” polling against Cameron and a number of possible other contenders for the Tory leadership. The LAB leader trailed the then PM by just 7% and was only 5% behind Boris. Perhaps not remarkably he had a 13% lead over Osborne and what’s interesting now is in the chart – Corbyn…