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A new Ipsos-MORI poll funded by the Unison public service trade union reports that Ken is ahead by 3% on first preferences and 6% after second preferences. (UPDATE: The Guardian report on the poll suggests that the 6% was scaled back to 4% after MORI had factored in whether those interviewed were registered to vote or not.) The first preference figures are KEN 41%: BORIS 38%: PADDICK 12%. After second preferences are taken into account this become KEN 52%: BORIS…

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Could this be a game-changing event? The big debate in the London Mayoral campaign starts at 10.35pm. Is this going to change the election? How will it affect the betting? The latest prices are here Mike Smithson

The polls close at 1am UK time. The first details of the exit polling are coming in. The range of White House Race betting prices is here,

Can Hillary do well enough to stay in the race? We are finally there after what has seemed a lifetime since the last primary. The voters of Pennsylvania go to the polls tomorrow for what could determine whether Hillary’s can still entertain her dream of becoming the first female President. This is a closed election which means that unlike many other states only those who are registered as Democrats can take part – a factor that should help the former…

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It’s 53-47 after second preferences This week’s evening Standard YouGov poll on the London Mayor battle and shows a a small increase in Boris’s lead on first preferences. The figures are with changes on last week – BORIS 44% (-1): KEN 37% (-2): PADDICK 12% (+2) After second preferences the lead is 6%. This should provide some comfort for the Tory camp following a week a heavy exposure amongst Londoners for the campaign. UPDATE Meanwhile I have been in contact…

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