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Category: EU matters

New Ipsos-MORI poll has LAB ahead on “Europe”

New Ipsos-MORI poll has LAB ahead on “Europe”

LAB has “best policies” on Europe according to new Ipsos-MORI poll. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2013 And 28% of of GE2010 CON voters say Ukip’s got best policies Just 48% of #GE2010 CON voters told Ipsos-MORI that their party has best policies on Europe. Worryingly for the blues 28% said Ukip. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2013

LAB YouGov leads seems to be settling down at about 9 percent – a notch down on before the Cameron referendum pledge

LAB YouGov leads seems to be settling down at about 9 percent – a notch down on before the Cameron referendum pledge

LAB leads remains at 9% with YouGov. The trend is starting to suggest that DC referendum promise not a game-changer. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Ed Miliband closes gap in YouGov’s Best PM ratings.Cam was 10% ahead – now 8% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Day to day movements in the polling are being watched very closely at the moment following the Cameron EU speech eight days ago. The latest, this morning, has CON 33:…

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The YouGov LAB lead moves to 9 percent exactly one week after Cameron’s big EU speech

The YouGov LAB lead moves to 9 percent exactly one week after Cameron’s big EU speech

Was that the Tory EU referendum bounce that was? Today’s LAB lead 9% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 30, 2013 Was that the referendum bounce that was? At 8am last Wednesday morning we were glued to our TV sets for Camerons’s long promised speech on UK’s relationship with the EU. The promise of an in-out referendum was a big one and something that will could dominate the #GE2015 election campaign. Initially the polls barely moved but then over the…

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The Ukip rise continues in the first phone poll since Cameron’s speech

The Ukip rise continues in the first phone poll since Cameron’s speech

In sharp contrast to online polls the 1st phone survey since Dave’s EU speech has Ukip up to 10%. www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=55988 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2013 ComRes/Indy poll has CON 32/LAB 39/LD 10/Ukip 10 We now only get three telephone polls each month which is a great pity. They cost a lot more to mount than an online survey and I take them more seriously. Tonight’s ComRes poll for the Independent sees the Tories gaining a bit of…

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Why Ukip might be a good bet to win more votes than the Tories in #EU2014

Why Ukip might be a good bet to win more votes than the Tories in #EU2014

Ladbrokes make it evens that Ukip will outpoll CON in #EU2014.Might be a good bet. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2013 Ladbrokes have a match bet market on which of CON and Ukip will do better in terms of votes at #EU2014 which take place in eighteen months time. Note that with the bet where LAB finish is irrelevant, It’s a straight fight between the blues and purples with, for the moment, CON being the odds-on favourite…

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The Cameron EU speech seems to be having the desired effect across the polls: CON gets closer and Ukip down

The Cameron EU speech seems to be having the desired effect across the polls: CON gets closer and Ukip down

Tories UP, LDs UP. Ukip DOWN in all the post Cameron speech polls in the Sundays twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2013 The big question is whether it will be sustained? There are four polls in the Sundays, all alas online, and the message from those carried out from Thursday onwards is that the Tories and Liberal Democrats are up and Ukip is down. The fieldwork for a fourth poll by Opinium for the Observer was mostly done…

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Davd Herdson: Cameron must be clear that he might vote No

Davd Herdson: Cameron must be clear that he might vote No

David Herdson says that Cameron cannot go on avoiding the key EU questions www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=55937 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 26, 2013 He can’t go on dodging the question? David Cameron’s speech on the UK’s future relationship with the EU has certainly set the political agenda for the week. Almost as soon as he made it, however, two questions were asked that will dog him if he continues to answer as he did at the time: what specifically do you…

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