politicalbetting.com

John Kerry 2016 pic.twitter.com/hktNEskffM — PolPics (@PolPics) February 19, 2014 He could be ideally placed if his Middle East peace plan succeeds The first thing I did on my return last night from an intensive tour of Israel and Palestine was to place a bet at 50/1 with Ladbrokes on the defeated 2004 presidential candidate, John Kerry, for the Democratic party nomination in the 2016 White House race. Alas the bookie has now cut the price to 25/1 though you…

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Bill & Hillary in Oval Office 1998. Mike S behind Stephen Hawking Peter gives his assessments – Part 2 Last time around, the Republican [GOP] Nomination was a bean-feast for me, and for quite a few other gamblers here, I’m sure. The procedure was blissfully easy. You simply layed whoever was the latest clown to inspire the GOP base, safe in the knowledge that when push came to shove common -sense would prevail and the Party would revert to the…

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"Trader lost millions apparently trying to manipulate Intrade data to favour Mitt Romney" http://t.co/8n11xSshu8 @MSmithsonPB — Gavin Jackson (@GavinHJackson) September 24, 2013 So this was why Betfair and Intrade were so far apart The big political betting this afternoon is not EdM’s speech but a report from the US about how a single trader sought to manipulate the Romney price on Intrade in the run-up to last November’s White House election. The divergence of the two markets was something that…

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PPP poll on the N Hampshire GOP race for WH2016 has Rand Paul on 28% – 3% up on fav Rubio. goo.gl/RW2Ih twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 26, 2013 Back on November 17th 2012 I backed Ron Paul’s son, at 50/1, to be the WH2016 Republican nominee. A PPP poll in the first full primary state of New Hampshire had him at just 4%. Today a new PPP New Hampshire poll is out putting Rand in the lead on…

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A great recap of the political betting story of the year To think that exactly a year ago we were waiting for the Iowa caucuses and the massive shock of Rik Santorum’s unexpected which for many of us led to big profits. I love White House races and this one was superb seeing my longest odds winning bet ever, a lay of Romney at 1/100 in one of the early caucuses. My big regret is that I didn’t risk more…

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Rand Paul,son of Ron,becomes the first to go public on his interest in GOP2016 nomination.I got 50/1 last night twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2012 Last night I got a bet on at 50/1 with PaddyPower that Rand Paul, the son of 2012 GOP contender, Ron Paul, would be the nominee for the 2016 race. Thanks to HYUFD on the previous thread for tipping us off about Paul’s TV interview in which he spoke about his interest. This…

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