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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Ex-top Trump aide says expect a big anti-Clinton Wikileaks revelation on Wednesday

Ex-top Trump aide says expect a big anti-Clinton Wikileaks revelation on Wednesday

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Wednesday@HillaryClinton is done. #Wikileaks. — Roger Stone (@RogerJStoneJr) October 2, 2016 Will it live up to its billing? This is the latest in this extraordinary White House battle. Only problem with trailing like this is that it could blunt the impact if its not quite as sensational as being suggested. We shall see but there’s still five weeks of this campaign still to go. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now for Corbyn: this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now for Corbyn: this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

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After a big few days in both UK and US politics the PB/Polling Matters looks in detail at the impact of Corbyn’s re-election and where the Trump-Clinton battle stands now. How much importance should we attach to the instant post debate polling and in the UK is there any way that Corbyn can now move forward following his convincing leadership victory. Joining Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) are Rob Vance (@robvance) and Leo (@leobarasi) Rob highights the post debate polling showing a…

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The WH2016 betting moves markedly back to Clinton after convincing first debate performance

The WH2016 betting moves markedly back to Clinton after convincing first debate performance

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On Betfair it is now Clinton 68% Trump 30% Well over £3m was traded on Betfair as the market moves back to Hillary Clinton following a confident first debate performance against Donald Trump. This is how Taegan Goddard of Political Wire summed up the night’s event: “. Clinton was particularly effective when needling him on not releasing his tax returns, saying, “Why won’t he release his tax returns? Maybe he’s not as rich as he says he is.” Trump couldn’t…

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Tonight’s the big one in WH2016 and the betting could be turned on its head

Tonight’s the big one in WH2016 and the betting could be turned on its head

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In previous White House Races the first debate has been seen as a sort of official start to hostilities. This is said to be the point when voters start to get engaged. This time that is much less so because public interest in the fight to succeed Obama has been far higher than anything we’ve seen before. The fight for the GOP nomination saw the biggest TV debate audiences ever and records are expected to be broken overnight. The reason…

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Punters continue to make Clinton a 60%+ chance even though the polling remains very tight

Punters continue to make Clinton a 60%+ chance even though the polling remains very tight

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Clinton recovering a bit in latest national polls but this battle is still very tight.On Monday it's the 1st debate pic.twitter.com/7AXiPfEwOE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016 Latest Betfair Exchange WH2016 prices pic.twitter.com/q6lUDmgcfJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016 Just three days to go before the first WH2016 debate This is, of course, all about the outcomes in the key swing states but the national surveys gives us a good overview of the election that takes place in…

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Terror casts a shadow over the race for the White House

Terror casts a shadow over the race for the White House

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Keiran Pedley looks at how unfolding events in New York and New Jersey might impact the US presidential race. It is sadly inevitable that events in New York and New Jersey – coming so soon after the anniversary of 9/11 – will be analysed through the prism of the coming election. What is less clear is the impact they will have. The traditional view is that events surrounding national security will favour the Republican candidate. However, given that the Republican…

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Trump: grinding his way to victory?

Trump: grinding his way to victory?

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Suddenly his path to the White House is looking a lot clearer The Terminator had nothing on Donald Trump. Relentless, seemingly unstoppable, impervious, unflappable, possessed of a few choice popular catch-phrases, assimilated but still not of this (political) world: the public’s watched in horrified awe as he swept all opposition so far aside. Can Hillary Clinton make an even less plausible Sarah Connor and find the equivalent of a crushing steel press in the form of the electorate? Her health…

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With polls tightening & the betting moves to Trump tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show/Podcast returns to WH2016

With polls tightening & the betting moves to Trump tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show/Podcast returns to WH2016

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Joining Keiran (on the programme is the Politco polling analyst, Steven Shepard (@POLITICO_Steve) and Federica Cocco (@federicacocco) statistical journalist at the Financial Times in the UK. The Clinton health scare on the 15th anniversary of 9/11 and her team’s reaction to it have reinforced doubts about her and have inevitably given Trump a boost. This is, of course, being reflected in the betting where the latest on the Betfair Exchange has Trump on 34/35%. Clinton is hovering around the 60%…

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