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Category: CON Leadership

Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries about letting Corbyn in

Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries about letting Corbyn in

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A new CON leader WILL NOT mean an early general election With the Sunday newspaper reports that the CON MPs plotting an early retirement for Mrs May being just 8 MPs short of the 48 required for a confidence vote we could be very close to a formal move against Mrs May. One of the big arguments that May backers and the Tory whips are apparently making to MPs is that if she goes early then it heightens the risk…

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It’s time Michael Gove got the credit for stopping Boris from becoming Prime Minister

It’s time Michael Gove got the credit for stopping Boris from becoming Prime Minister

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At 25/1 the Environment Sec looks a value leadership bet We all remember that crazy Thursday morning in June last year when Michael Gove announced that he was standing for the Conservative leadership thus scuppering in one blindingly effective stroke the bid by former Mayor of London, Mr Johnson. If anyone can take the credit for undermining the Boris bid for Number 10 it is the Environment Secretary. He did it because he more than anyone could see the inadequacies…

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Patel goes and so the attention will now focus on Boris

Patel goes and so the attention will now focus on Boris

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#Prexit. It's official. Priti Patel has resigned, No.10 sources say. — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) November 8, 2017 https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/928340147778805761 Patel’s problem was always that she had few CON friends https://twitter.com/henrymance/status/928315294644428801

With Priti Patel flying in from Kenya her situation and the government’s gets more complicated

With Priti Patel flying in from Kenya her situation and the government’s gets more complicated

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The Patel saga is getting murkier. Exclusive in Jewish Chronicle: No 10 knew about Patel meetings https://t.co/gDQhL2Q1RR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2017 Statement from Number 10 re JC story. Priti Patel still due to see PM when she gets off a plane from Nairobi. pic.twitter.com/DCGxklDjde — Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) November 8, 2017 Very odd. Burt met Israeli Govt people on 22 August. According to @stephenpollard the notes of that meeting referred to Patel having had successful meeting with…

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Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference for who should succeed Mrs. May

Latest ConHome party members’ survey finds no clear preference for who should succeed Mrs. May

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This, surely, is TMay’s greatest strength At some stage in the next 20 month or so the largely male and elderly membership of the Conservative party will vote on who should be the next Prime Minister – so we need to keep an eye on the regular ConHome surveys of party members. Although these are not what can be described as proper polls with representative samples they have in the past been showing a broadly similar picture to what YouGov…

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Leadsom, Williamson and Tugendhat move into the frame in the TMay successor betting

Leadsom, Williamson and Tugendhat move into the frame in the TMay successor betting

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Betdata.io The Westminster harassment allegations have led to a shake up in the Betfair exchange next CON leader betting with several new names coming in including Andrea Leadsom, new Defence Sec Gavin Williamson and Tom Tugendhat. Although Davis is still in the favourite slot at 13% he is nothing like as strong a favourite as he was. Rees-Mogg continues to be favoured while BoJo is now in third place. What makes this market more interesting is that the mood amongst…

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Mrs May needs to use the Fallon vacancy to bring in new talent

Mrs May needs to use the Fallon vacancy to bring in new talent

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Why she should follow the example of Michael Howard One of the things that is often commented on as people discuss who will be the next Tory leader is how underwhelming the obvious front runners appear. If you look at the betting there is no clear choice and this is an opportunity for Mrs May to plan for the future of her party by promoting people who could grow and become the leaders of tomorrow. I was always impressed by…

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