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Category: CON Leadership

Make of these Tweets what you will – but certainly lots of rumours flying about

Make of these Tweets what you will – but certainly lots of rumours flying about

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Confidence vote watch. I know it’s a dangerous game to play and Sir Graham is keeper of the list. But my ERG sources pretty confident now that 48 trigger been breached. Of course Sir Graham won’t announce while PM out of country – and we’ve been here before. But mood hardening — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) December 11, 2018 Masses of speculation about the numbers going in – lots of people hoping the 48 has been reached, but not clear –…

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Geoffrey Cox for next CON leader? He’s head and shoulders above the rest

Geoffrey Cox for next CON leader? He’s head and shoulders above the rest

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At 50/1 a good bet? These are quite extraordinary times and one of the “stars” to have emerged has been the Attorney General, Geoffrey Cox – someone who first came to many people’s attention when he introduced TMay at October’s CON conference. I thought he did brilliantly yesterday handling what was a very difficult issue for the government and no doubt will be seeing more of him later. He’s not someone who has been mentioned much as a prospective CON…

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If TMay has to go quickly then, surely, Javid or Hunt should be favourites for “Emergency PM”

If TMay has to go quickly then, surely, Javid or Hunt should be favourites for “Emergency PM”

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She'll never resign. But, this hinges on hunt and javid – the two biggest beasts and leadership frontrunners for emergency PM. If they say time is up then time is up. — Iain Martin (@iainmartin1) December 2, 2018 Both might be worth a punt for next PM I’ve long taken the view that Theresa May is not going to resign voluntarily before her mission of handling brexit and taking the UK out of the EU has been accomplished. However the…

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Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

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Now more support than oppose The big overnight Brexit news is a Survation poll for the Daily Mail conducted yesterday which is being splashed all over its front page as can be seen above. The big news is that on comparative questions there has been a significant increase in those supporting the deal compared with similar questions which were put by Survation in a poll on November 15th. Clearly this is good news for Theresa May who has started to…

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The Telegraph leading on May’s TV Corbyn debate plan

The Telegraph leading on May’s TV Corbyn debate plan

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At least she’s taking the initiative This reminds me very much Tony Blair in the period leading up to the Iraq War. That, it will be recalled, saw massive demonstrations and Commons revolts but in the end the UK joined the US in going to war. The hardline Brexiteers would have been in a stronger position now if they’d put the grunt work in and had had an alternative plan. Anyway another week begins. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

After an historic morning in Brussels the betting remains that Brexit will happen on time & TMay will survive until at least 2019

After an historic morning in Brussels the betting remains that Brexit will happen on time & TMay will survive until at least 2019

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The uncertainties remain I’m taking profits on my TMay surviving 2018 bet because I think there’s just an outside chance that she could quit if the Commons votes against her plan. That would happen before Christmas. One thing that’s happened during her premiership is that ultimately she’s won just about all the main votes on Brexit. Things might look bleak now but is Labour really going to risk being tarred with having made a no deal exit to actually happen?…

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