politicalbetting.com

What is absolutely certain the top political betting event of 2020 will be November’s US presidential election. Currently the incumbent. Mr Trump, is going through his impeachment trial at the US Senate while presidential hopefuls are going into the final phases of their campaign in the first state to vote on the Democratic nomination – Iowa with its caucuses on February 3rd. Until now PB has yet do a post on the the final election result in November. As can…

Read More Read More

The withdrawal agreement bill has just cleared the House of Lords Britain is exiting the European Union The Brexit wars are over — Matthew Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) January 22, 2020

Being portrayed as anti-north so soon after the election might not be smart The biggest mistake that was made over HS2 was to call it just that. It sounds like a vanity project which is exactly what it isn’t. The new line would free up chronic under-capacity on the existing West Coast Main Line including for all the local and commuter services. If this had been billed as “West Coast Mainline upgrade” it wouldn’t have attracted anything like the opposition….

Read More Read More

So far, fourteen CLPs have nominated candidates to be leader of the Labour Party. Starmer: 11 Long-Bailey: 3 pic.twitter.com/8uvlxH95iI — CLP Nominations (@CLPNominations) January 19, 2020 It seems to have been going on for an eternity but it was just a fortnight ago that Labour’s NEC formally launched the election to choose a successor to Corbyn to lead the party following its fourth successive General Election defeat. The first round involved getting the backing of MPs while the second is…

Read More Read More

Johnson plans to move House of Lords to York – Sunday Times https://t.co/vJRqP277zU pic.twitter.com/JsIO78cNmE — Reuters (@Reuters) January 19, 2020 If not London then York is as good as it gets There’s a single column story on the front page of the Sunday Times that reads like one of those spoofs you see on April Fools day suggesting that Johnson wants to move the Lords permanently to York. The paper’s Tim Shipman reports: “The prime minister last week ordered work…

Read More Read More

Why the usual rules don’t apply in 2020 Fictional America political dramas love a contested convention, where two or more candidates turn up still in hope of gaining the nomination, with all the trading, arguing and general politicking (and, in fictionland, often rather more than politicking) that implies. In reality, it doesn’t happen like that. Presidential primaries have an inherent instability about them which in recent decades has generally ensured that both parties’ candidates are secure in their place months…

Read More Read More

New Labour leadership polling for @thetimes Round 1KS – 46%RLB – 32%JP – 11%LN – 6%ET – 3% Final RoundKS – 63%RLB – 37%https://t.co/JrHoW89WKs — Chris Curtis (@chriscurtis94) January 17, 2020 Punters move back to Starmer who’s heading for a 70% chance once again This from the Times shows how the poll has it going round by round. Mike Smithson