@politicalwireRomney campaign concedes Florida.The final state is in. pwire.at/UoIPHZ See here twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2012 This makes the final ECV tally 332 to 206. Hopefully the bookies won’t be too long is settling the outstanding bets that were contingent on the outcome. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB
The afternoon after the night before – Marf gives her take twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
Obama wins – this is from ABC News. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 In the end the outcome came as as had been predicted for months. Obama had built up leads, albeit very small, in enough of the battle-ground state to push him over the 270 electoral college votes threshold. It was a tense night particularly over Ohio, Virginia and Florida and the margins were narrow. But Obama had chalked up enough victories in the other swing…
Today’s the mid-point in the 2010-2015 parliament and coalition wrangling has never been greater. Can it last? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 The splits are becoming greater by the week? We’ve been so focussed on the US election that we’ve hardly looked at domestic politics for some time that perhaps this morning we should focus on the coalition. For it is exactly two and a half years today from the general election and we are half way…
Nate Silver final day forecast – an 86.3% probability for Barack Obama. goo.gl/r5e5W twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 5, 2012 Tomorrow could be the day that his approach is vindicated One person who has had to face an extraordinary amount of abuse over the past fortnight has been the New York Times election analyst, Nate Silver. The basic problem is that his complex statistical model has been showing that Obama has a good chance of victory predictions that have…
David Herdson argues that there’ll be no EU referendum anytime soon. goo.gl/L7flQ twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2012 Where do we stand after the big vote? The Coalition’s reform requiring all future EU treaties that transfer power to the EU to be put to a referendum was intended both as a brake on UK involvement in EU integration, and as a landmine under the kind of government that might be inclined to do that – either they’d have…
Here’s a link to a Reuters TV discussion I took part in on the White House race betting goo.gl/KAKw6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2012 For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB