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Category: Coalition

The run up to Eastleigh: Tories suffer 2nd local by-election set-back in 3 days following big move to Ukip

The run up to Eastleigh: Tories suffer 2nd local by-election set-back in 3 days following big move to Ukip

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RT @juvelad: #cromer by-election results. Lib dem gain #libdems 558, lab 240, ukip 218, torys 18140.6% turn out #lgbtld >>Jesus wept. — Iain Dale (@IainDale) February 22, 2013 @davidppritchard Tories had held it before. Went from 1st to 4th. — Iain Dale (@IainDale) February 22, 2013 Another gain for the Lib Dems With all eyes looking for pointers on Eastleigh the Tories have suffered another big local by-election blow with the Lib Dems chalking up their second gain in three…

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This looks like a row Cameron should not have got into

This looks like a row Cameron should not have got into

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he Speccie gets it teeth into Cameron over the Mantel-Kate row. blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/20… … twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2013 The full Spectator article, in which Freddy Gray pulls no punches, is here.

The Eastleigh moves are all in line with what voters predicted would happen

The Eastleigh moves are all in line with what voters predicted would happen

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What different segments of #Eastleigh voters predicted would happen at the start of the campaign. See chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 18, 2013 Another victory for “Wisdom of Crowds” polling? The above finding asking Eastleigh voters what they thought would happen comes from the Lord Ashcroft by election poll taken a fortnight ago immediately after Chris Huhne announced that he was going. As can be seen from the chart there was a widespread view from all segments of…

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The big unknown – the level of Ukip tactical swtching to the Tories to stop the Lib Dems

The big unknown – the level of Ukip tactical swtching to the Tories to stop the Lib Dems

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Maria Hutchings with Grant Shapps/Michael Green twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 17, 2013 Eastleigh could be a guide to GE2015 The Lord Ashcroft Eastleigh poll carried out before any candidates had been selected found that just 50% of those who’d voted CON at GE2010 said that they would do so again at the by-election. The biggest segment of the remainder, representing 21% of 2010 CON voters were those saying don’t know. A total of 9% said they’d switch to…

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ComRes online LAB lead remains at 5 percent

ComRes online LAB lead remains at 5 percent

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LAB lead stays at 5% in new ComRes online poll for Indy/S Mirror. New methodology gives big boost to others twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2013 Economy I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy Agree 27% (+2) Disagree 51% (-4) Net agree -24% (+6) I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy Agree 20% (-1) Disagree 55% (+3) Net agree -35% (-4) Change…

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Will Welsh Secretary David Jones be the next to go?

Will Welsh Secretary David Jones be the next to go?

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David Jones, Welsh Secretary at centre of gay marriage row, now 6/1 FAV for next Cabinet exit bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2013 David Herdson assesses his survival chances The Secretaries of State for Wales is amongst the most invisible of cabinet ministers. Partly that’s because the London media never gives as much attention to events outside the capital as within it but mainly it’s because he doesn’t have much of a job to do with the…

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The five political lessons from Ed Miliband and the 10p tax

The five political lessons from Ed Miliband and the 10p tax

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twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2013 Henry G Manson on the LAB leader’s big speech Aside from the policy itself, I take five political points from the Labour leader’s announcement that his party would return the 10p tax rate and fund it through a ‘mansion tax’. 1) Ed Miliband really isn’t afraid to distance himself from former boss Gordon Brown. This policy stance reminds of one of Brown’s biggest political mistakes and the Labour leader defines himself against…

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