Browsed by
Category: Coalition

Now Cameron’s position and future is taking centre stage

Now Cameron’s position and future is taking centre stage

Comments 0 Comment

How serious is failing in Eastleigh for Cameron? This is the Evening Standard’s front page. twitter.com/JoeMurphyLondo… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013 Ladbrokes make it 1/2 that the LDs will hold onto #Eastleighat #GE2015. The Tories are 2/1 & Ukip 16/1. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013 Only twice since 1945 has party which has held a seat in an English by-election gone on to lose it at next GE BoltonE’ 60 & Darlington ’83 — Mike Smithson…

Read More Read More

The Lib Dems hold #Eastleigh in spite of the massive coverage of Rennardgate

The Lib Dems hold #Eastleigh in spite of the massive coverage of Rennardgate

Comments 0 Comment

What would the #Eastleigh result have been without #Rennrdgate. What did the media coverage do to voting? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 1, 2013 How many votes did this all cost? It’s probably no exaggeration for Ukip to claim that they would have won the by-election if it had been restricted just to votes on the day. What we do know is that about a third of all votes had been made by post and that of these the…

Read More Read More

Italian exit polls point to victory for Bersani

Italian exit polls point to victory for Bersani

Comments 0 Comment

Bersani could be heading for victory in Italy. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 25, 2013 Latest Italian polls. Rai (Piepoli pollster)SenateBersani 36-38%Berlusconi 30-32%HouseBersani 35-37%Berlusconi 29-31% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 25, 2013 To follow the action check out:- http://elezioni.interno.it/index.html – official results, Senato = Senate, Camera = Chamber of Deputies http://www.rai.it/ – live TV streaming available under “Notizie”

Is Clegg going to be able to survive?

Is Clegg going to be able to survive?

Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes make it a 6/4 chance that Clegg won’t be Lib Dem leader at the general election twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2013 Inititial reaction to Clegg’s statement on #Eastleigh betting is for LD price to weaken & Tories to tighten twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2013 13% of LAB voters in the Populus #Eastleigh poll said they didn’t even know who Nick Clegg was. When asked they said “never heard of him” — Mike Smithson…

Read More Read More

David Herdson: Osborne – time to go?

David Herdson: Osborne – time to go?

Comments 0 Comment

You can get 3/1 with PaddyPower that Osborne will not be Chancellor by end of year. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2013 Is it three strikes and out? In practical terms, the loss of the UK’s triple-A credit rating with one of the three main agencies is unlikely to have much impact. France and the USA have both been through the same process without undue trauma, and besides, there’s enough information and interest in the sovereign debt of…

Read More Read More

Eastleigh: Now Survation for the Mail on Sunday has the Tories 4 percent ahead

Eastleigh: Now Survation for the Mail on Sunday has the Tories 4 percent ahead

Comments 0 Comment

Survation Eastleigh poll for Mail on Sunday has Tories 4% ahead. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2013 Is it going to be down to a battle of the pollsters It’s very rare that ahead of a election two pollsters give diametrically opposite projections of the outcome. Well that’s the situation tonight following a new by-election poll just out for tomorrow’s Mail on Sunday which has projected vote shares that are very different from last night’s Populus poll for…

Read More Read More

Henry G Manson on what LAB voters should do in the battle for Eastleigh

Henry G Manson on what LAB voters should do in the battle for Eastleigh

Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes up/down #Eastleigh vote shate mkt now has CON’s Maria Hutchings at 29%. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2013 The aim should be to punish Cameron next Thursday It’s been easy for Labour supporters and MPs to focus all their fire on Liberal Democrats these last few years. There was a time when many believed the Coalition would not last the distance and that dumping on the Liberal Democrats was key to breaking it up and triggering…

Read More Read More