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Category: By elections

Punters make South Shields a battle between LAB and Ukip

Punters make South Shields a battle between LAB and Ukip

Which party will win? Latest South Shields betting showing best prices and where money is going.Ukip being well supported twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 30, 2013 Which party will come second Bettng on the party to finish second in South Shields. The Ladbrokes market is all Ukip. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 31, 2013

Marf on the exit of David Miliband + latest South Shields betting

Marf on the exit of David Miliband + latest South Shields betting

After a morning with a lot of betting moves the William Hill 1/20 is the best South Shields price for LAB. bit.ly/u6wr8r — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 27, 2013   Best prices on Ukip in South Shields is the 16/1 available at Ladbokes (bit.ly/c5gpH6)and PaddyPower (bit.ly/I8PkIO) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 27, 2013   The money on the S Shields by-election is going on Ukip beating the Tories. Ladbrokes have 8/11 on them coming 2nd with 5/4 for CON. —…

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It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

Adeyfield West on Dacorum (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2011): Con 43, Lib Dem 6, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 35) Last Election (2011): Con 1,213 (43%) Lab  1,203 (43%) Lib Dem 413 (15%)   There are several councils across the United Kingdom whose names do not give you much of a clue as to where they are in the world. For instance, just where is Babergh in East Anglia, does anyone know where the Vale of the White Horse…

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Miserable night for the Tories as rock-solid council seats in Surrey and Sussex fall to Ukip and the LDs

Miserable night for the Tories as rock-solid council seats in Surrey and Sussex fall to Ukip and the LDs

Cracking result in Runnymead DC, Chris Browne of @ukip pick up Foxhills District Council seat, by 18 votes overturning a 23% Tory Majority — Gawain Towler (@GawainTowler) March 15, 2013 #LibDem destroy a 1000 Tory majority to take the #Arun district Aldwick east seat in today’s by election for the first time @libdemnews — Cllr. Jamie Bennett (@JamieBen120689) March 15, 2013 Could May’s county elections could be a bloodbath? After yesterday’s dreadful national polls for the Conservatives there’s news overnight…

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The PB Local Elections Special with a chance of a gain for Ukip

The PB Local Elections Special with a chance of a gain for Ukip

Tonight’s Harry Hayfield local by election preview Aldwick East on Arun (Con Defence) Last Local Election (2011): Con 48, Lib Dem 4, Lab 3, Ind 1 (Con majority of 40) Last Election Result (2011): Con 2,536 (64%) Lib Dem 622 (16%) UKIP 283 (7%) Ind 268 (7%) Lab 264 (7%)   Bognor Regis (given it’s title in recognition of the Monarch) is the sort of town that if a Conservative didn’t win shockwaves would ripple across the entire country. Even…

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Martin McGuinness’s old seat is held by Sinn Fein

Martin McGuinness’s old seat is held by Sinn Fein

Mid Ulster elects another SF MP who won’t take his seat at Wesminster. bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 8, 2013 Declared Result Francie Molloy (SF) won the seat after polling 17,462 votes (46.93%) Joint unionist candidate Nigel Lutton was second on 12,781 votes. The SDLP’s Patsy McGlone polled 6,478, with the Alliance Party’s Eric Bullick on 487. Sinn Fein HOLD with a majority of 4,681 Adjusted Result (Unionist allocation) Francis Molloy, SF 17462 46.93% Patsy McGlone, SDLP 6478…

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Harry Hayfield’s guide to tonight’s by-elections

Harry Hayfield’s guide to tonight’s by-elections

Ulster Mid (Sinn Fein Defence) 1992: Democratic Unionist 19,274 (41%) SDLP 14,360 (31%) Sinn Fein 11,340 (24%) Alliance 1,229 (3%) Others 770 (2%) 1997: Sinn Fein 20,294 (40% +16%) Democratic Unionist 18,411 (36% -5%) SDLP 11,205 (22% -9%) Alliance 460 (1% -2%) Others 299 (1% -1%) Sinn Fein GAIN from Democratic Unionist 2001: Sinn Fein 25,202 (51% +11%) Democratic Unionist 15,549 (31% -5%) SDLP 8,376 (17% -5%) Others 509 (1% n/c) Sinn Fein HOLD 2005: Sinn Fein 21,641 (48% -3%) Democratic…

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The Sept/Oct 2014 Sutton Coldfield by-election: Where Diane James becomes Ukip’s first elected MP?

The Sept/Oct 2014 Sutton Coldfield by-election: Where Diane James becomes Ukip’s first elected MP?

Andrew Mitchell’s Sutton Coldfield seat – how the votes split at #GE2010. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2013 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2013 What we need is a contest in a CON stronghold Of all the by-eletions in this parliament what we haven’t seen is one in a rock solid CON stronghold where LAB and the LDs are nowhere. How would Ukip perform in that environment and how would the blue team respond? Well we…

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