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Category: BREXIT

Ahead of this afternoon’s May-Corbyn meeting the two leaders get warmed up with a spiky PMQs exchange

Ahead of this afternoon’s May-Corbyn meeting the two leaders get warmed up with a spiky PMQs exchange

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Jeremy Corbyn: "None of that was very clear to me, I don't know about anybody else" Labour leader is unimpressed by Theresa May's answer on "alternative arrangements" to replace the Irish backstop in #Brexit deal#PMQs updates: https://t.co/1SWYMqgzLk pic.twitter.com/VmJW0qvPhy — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) January 30, 2019 If we were to predict the outcome of this afternoon’s historic meeting face-to-face meeting between TMay and Mr Corbyn based on what happened at today’s PMQs it is hard to see this taking things very…

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Why after last night the value Brexit bet is on the UK leaving the EU on March 29th

Why after last night the value Brexit bet is on the UK leaving the EU on March 29th

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Overnight I have been amongst a number of punters betting on the Betfair Brexit market that the UK WILL leave the EU on March 29th. The Tweet exchange at the top between Phil Collins of the Times and YouGov’s Marcus Roberts sums up simply the reasoning. Essentially TMay’s long term strategy of getting her deal through could succeed because it becomes the only option on the table. Her trip to Brussels is not likely to produce the change that the…

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Article 50 Exit Day – Minus 59 and everything is now put back to February 13th

Article 50 Exit Day – Minus 59 and everything is now put back to February 13th

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But could this mean getting closer to a deal? My initial take on this eve. ‘Though parliament rejected no deal, we’re now closer to it than ever’ https://t.co/VmDWCYfhfl — Anand Menon (@anandMenon1) January 29, 2019 MPs have voted for a Brexit solution that has already been rejected by the EU https://t.co/Z5aqhm44TV — BuzzFeed News UK (@BuzzFeedNewsUK) January 29, 2019 I am starting to fear that MPs will continue not making decision right until the evening of March 29th when the…

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TMay’s problem is that the vast majority of voters, including leavers, are not happy bunnies about Brexit

TMay’s problem is that the vast majority of voters, including leavers, are not happy bunnies about Brexit

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Are tonight’s votes going to improve or worsen this? Looking at this latest YouGov polling it really is quite remarkable how people feel about brexit. I suppose a lot of it is just simply exhaustion with each days news being totally dominated by the issue, something that has been going on for years it seems. The breakdown above is not surprising for remainers though I’d have expected a more positive view from leavers. This has become so complex that a…

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The ERG, the new Militant tendency?

The ERG, the new Militant tendency?

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bWLN7rIby9s Last year I called Jeremy Corbyn the new Maggie.  I don’t suppose that will be appearing on the side of a Labour election battle bus any time soon. A pity.  The Twitterstorm that would have followed would have been such fun. So let’s see if I can be even more provoking this year. Jacob Rees-Mogg and Derek Hatton have a surprising amount in common: their Catholicism (Jacob modelling himself on Waugh’s Bridey, Derek coming from the cradle Irish Catholic strand,…

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The HealthSec announces that medicines will be prioritised over food in the event of no deal

The HealthSec announces that medicines will be prioritised over food in the event of no deal

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No-deal Brexit plans prioritise medicines over food, MPs told https://t.co/1ZNiMb5KqX — Guardian politics (@GdnPolitics) January 28, 2019 Putting the pressure on ahead of tomorrow’s votes? Maybe this is all about getting MPs to face up to what no deal really means but the statement by Health Sec Hancock really brings home the potential crisis. That a choice might have to be made between food and medicines is decidedly scary. This is from the Guardian report of how HealthSec Hancock responded…

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“TMay exit” level-pegging with “UK leaving the EU” on the which’ll happen first betting market

“TMay exit” level-pegging with “UK leaving the EU” on the which’ll happen first betting market

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This Betfair exchange market is one of of my current favourites because it combines what is overwhelmingly the big UK political issue for many years, Brexit, with the future of TMay. On the face of it the UK actually leaving the EU appears a better bet to happen first than TMay stepping aside. For before Christmas she got immunity for a year after surviving the confidence vote amongst CON MPs. This compares with the UK’s EU exit date being enshrined…

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With 60 days to go the uncertainty is greater than ever

With 60 days to go the uncertainty is greater than ever

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Betdata.io Ahead of the crunch parliamentary week punters don’t think the March 29 exit will happen One of the good things about betting trend charts is that they are a way of seeing how opinions, at least of those who ready to risk money betting on politics, are developing over time. We are today exactly 60 days before the Article 50 deadline expires when the UK is due to leave the EU. Yet it is still far from clear whether…

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