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Category: BREXIT

Today could be the day that Corbyn’s Labour Party finally splits

Today could be the day that Corbyn’s Labour Party finally splits

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Solidarity ?? pic.twitter.com/lggiXOFRhX — Rebecca Long-Bailey (@RLong_Bailey) February 16, 2019 Whispers tonight that the Labour splitters will move tomorrow. Chuka Umunna’s team are not denying he is about to quit (they did deny when asked last week). — Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) February 17, 2019 Judging by activity on social media overnight there appears to be a reasonable chance that today could be the day that the Labour Party finally splinters. The Tweet above from Corbyn loyalist Rebecca Long-Bailey reflects one…

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Do Farage’s claims about 100k people signing up for his new party stand up?

Do Farage’s claims about 100k people signing up for his new party stand up?

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What do you mean by “signed up to”? Are you claiming 100,000 members, which would be twice as many as UKIP had, despite Arron Banks work on lapsed members. Or are the 100,000 just vague expressions of interest? — Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) February 17, 2019 Or is the ex-UKIP leader taking the Trump approach to “facts”? A big development today has been the claim from ex-UKIP leader, Farage, about the success of bis new Brexit party in getting people to…

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The “Led by Donkeys” billboards probably won’t stop Brexit but they’ll undermine many political reputations

The “Led by Donkeys” billboards probably won’t stop Brexit but they’ll undermine many political reputations

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In 2017 the movie,Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, won a host of awards and was a good demonstration of the power of this form of advertising. It is in relative terms cheap and can be focussed geographically. Whether that was the inspiration for the “Led by Donkeys” crowd-funding campaign I don’t know but over the past our weeks a series of posters like the ones above have been appearing in prominent locations throughout the UK. There’s one featuring Mr. Corbyn…

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Six Fridays to go and punters think there’s an increasing chance the the UK will leave on schedule

Six Fridays to go and punters think there’s an increasing chance the the UK will leave on schedule

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Betdata.io chart of movement over past 2 months on the Betfair exchange A month ago it was a 14.6% chance I’ve been on the Yes side of this bet for a week or so simply because I believe that TMay is so damn stubborn and focussed. Note the precise terms of this bet. “For the purposes of this market leaving the EU is defined as the date when the treaties of the EU cease to apply to the UK. Examples…

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There was no big 8pm story as promised but leading LAB & CON figures have made interesting comments

There was no big 8pm story as promised but leading LAB & CON figures have made interesting comments

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I asked both @ChukaUmunna and @Anna_Soubry directly tonight if they were considering leaving their respective parties for a new movement. Umunna said: “When I joined the Labour Party I thought I’d be a member to my dying day…..” https://t.co/vgqUTwKHpb — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) February 14, 2019 I interrupted a Valentine's Day dinner for that 'story'. May a camel ejaculate in the ears of all the journalists that hyped this story. — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 14, 2019 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB…

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Six weeks tomorrow could mark the beginning of the end for the United Kingdom as we know it

Six weeks tomorrow could mark the beginning of the end for the United Kingdom as we know it

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Pressure for Irish unification could just be the beginning One of the features of Brexit, particularly a no deal one, is the impact that it could have on the integrity of the United Kingdom. There has been polling already in Northern Ireland about how people would feel there about the Union in the event of a no deal Brexit. The numbers don’t look good for those backing the union and under the Good Friday Agreement the Secretary of State for…

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Long standing Brexiteer, Corbyn, needs more than just threats if he’s to budge on a referendum

Long standing Brexiteer, Corbyn, needs more than just threats if he’s to budge on a referendum

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There comes a time when threats to quit need to be followed up with actions or else they will just be ignored pic.twitter.com/sPBxu4LcAa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 13, 2019 moment of truth is looming for Labour rebels wanting to start a new party, multiple sources say the schism will come if and when Corbyn doesn’t support amendment for 2nd referendum in two weeks time…which will also trigger several frontbench resignations https://t.co/joGWpknxMG — Jim Pickard ? (@PickardJE) February 14, 2019…

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The great Brexiters gamble – go with TMay’s deal or risking Brexit not happening at all

The great Brexiters gamble – go with TMay’s deal or risking Brexit not happening at all

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange There’s an intriguing piece in the FT by George Parker and Henry Mance about an overheard conversation in Brussels by TMay’s Chief Negotiator, Olly Robbins which set out a different approach to put pressure on the hardliners. Apparently they will be told – back the deal or risk a lengthy delay during which anything could happen. That broadly replaces what had appeared to be the strategy of making the choice between what’s…

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