What sort of immigration policy is producing this nonsense?
This is a link to the above report.
Biden is going for a second term
The big news in US politics today is that aging Joe Biden is to seek a second term and the response on the WH2024 nomination betting is very clear – he’s being rated as an 82% chance. As to the race itself, he is being traded as a 40% chance. He is by far and away the oldest occupant of the White House and clearly his age does raise questions about his ability to serve the full four years. This…
Without the NHS improving Sunak’s government looks doomed
The oldies rate healthcare top Yesterday I took a very big decision and booked an appointment with a private surgeon for my spine. This is going to cost me but I had a procedure on the NHS two months ago which does not seem to have done the trick and now I can barely walk. My plight is not unusual. I am sure that many PBers can relate stories of how difficult it is to see their GP and many…
With the SNP declining could we see results like this again?
This from GE1992 is really quite extraordinary with the winner on just 26% of the vote and the Tories in fourth place only 3.4% behind. The rise of the SNP at GE2015 has rather obscured what happens under first past the post when in some seats four parties have a chance of taking the seat. My guess is that with the drop in fortunes for the SNP that we might see results similar again though not necessarily this close. Mike…
How long before the LAB lead is in single figures?
Given the current state of UK politics, it comes as something of a shock to recall that a little over two years ago one of the leading betting markets was on which month LAB would get at least one pollster recording a lead. Now even though the Tories have made quite a big recovery from last October they still seem a fair way behind in the polls though there is real hope given the way Sunak is getting relatively good…
The Scottish Question
Scotland is fast becoming to British politics what Ireland was in the 19th century: a country with endless, seemingly unresolvable, political grievances and issues defying easy answers. It has voted against independence but since 2007 has voted into power a party whose raison d’être this is. The current travails (today’s development a whistleblower about SNP finances claiming threats by the police, whose chief retired earlier than expected shortly before Sturgeon announced her resignation) are what almost inevitably happen when a…
Some of the front pages from the Sundays
How votes have moved in Esher since GE1997
The seat borders Lib Dem held Twickenham as well as Ed Davey’s Kingston seat and it is highly likely that it will be a key target for the LDs at the general election. To put the GE2019 result into contention this happened on the same day as the Tories won their near landslide majority, Raab had just about the worst result at GE2019 than for any other Tory incumbent. The boundaries are slightly different for the next election but this…