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Author: MikeSmithson

The February ICM Guardian poll sees the LDs the big losers with the three others all moving forward

The February ICM Guardian poll sees the LDs the big losers with the three others all moving forward

UKIP in third place for the Euro elections UKIP in third place behind Tories in new ICM poll for May's Euro elections pic.twitter.com/tSP71pBNiD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 10, 2014 Mike Smithson 2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble Follow @MSmithsonPB

Each day the political potency of the flooding gets bigger

Each day the political potency of the flooding gets bigger

Paterson/No 10 brief v Smith. Pickles denounces Smith. Paterson complains abt Pickles to No 10, who back Smith. Paterson denies row. Chaos — Tim Shipman (Mail) (@ShippersUnbound) February 10, 2014 No, Owen Paterson hasn't bought a spray can. pic.twitter.com/Zy1BsYnr17 — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) February 10, 2014 David Cameron’s response The judgement on the Environment Agency Looking at the party splits CON voters are much more likely to blame the Environment Agency than David Cameron. The ones most supportive of the…

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A 2014 by-election in Lansley’s Cambs South would be a battle to relish – and there’s a reasonable chance it could happen

A 2014 by-election in Lansley’s Cambs South would be a battle to relish – and there’s a reasonable chance it could happen

Lansley’s now joint 2nd favourite to be next EU Commissioner One of the big decisions that the coalition government has to take in the next few months is who should be the next UK EU Commissioner to the take up office in Brussels in the autumn. Lots of names have been mentioned and last week Ladbrokes opened a betting market. A critical political consideration is that if an MP is appointed then he/she would have to resign their seat and…

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A reminder: The Tories need lead of 7.3 percent before they start winning LAB seats and stop losing to them

A reminder: The Tories need lead of 7.3 percent before they start winning LAB seats and stop losing to them

The gap needs to close and move sharply the other way Tory hopes will probably be boosted a bit by today’s YouGov for the Sunday Times which sees the party on 35% just 4 points behind Labour with both the LDs and UKIP on 10%. Maybe they can even start to think of a cross-over – something on which there is an active betting market. If that happens it will certainly be a key psychological moment and will give the…

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The CON minister in charge of immigration resigns for employing someone who didn’t have permission to work in the UK as his cleaner

The CON minister in charge of immigration resigns for employing someone who didn’t have permission to work in the UK as his cleaner

Immigration Minister Mark Harper resigns after it emerged his cleaner did not have permission to work in the UK. pic.twitter.com/CD3uOfzKRe — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 8, 2014 Another boost for UKIP? Further details from the Spectator blog here.