CON literature in Rochester is probably a taster for GE15. Looks quite effective pic.twitter.com/s8krhqg6KF — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2014 And the polling that suggests they’ll struggle with UKIP voters
Essex Uni psephologist Prof Paul Whiteley argues that EdM not far behind DC on likeability http://t.co/xch2fvo90D pic.twitter.com/1iXsXb3d82 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 9, 2014 On this measure Ed is not far behind One of the issues that the current Ed Miliband issue has brought out is what are the best form of leader ratings. Prof Paul Whiteley, of University of Essex who ran BPIX, posted an interesting article last night suggesting that some of the standard measures like “best leader” might…
Excellent from YouGov & a reminder how to treat polls. 15% said they'd heard of politician who doesn't exit. Men most pic.twitter.com/y2RwefTG2L — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 9, 2014
While that remains the Tories are heading for defeat After a massive polling Saturday and the ongoing speculation about Ed Miliband let’s step back for a moment and look at the wider picture. The chart above is from the latest batch of Lord Ashcroft’s CON-LAB marginals polling with an aggregate sample about three times as large as all the data that came out overnight. It highlights the big development that appears not to be going away – the rise of…
The Saturday rolling poll thread Survation/MoS testing voting intentions with different LAB leaders. Cooper comes off worse – Johnson & Umuna best pic.twitter.com/sfh9m8VNWI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2014 YouGov/S Times poll has only 34% of LAB voters thinking Ed Miliband is up to the job as party leader — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2014 Other side of coin is that less than 6 months from GE15 two recent polls, Opinium and Survation have the Tories down in…
Interesting. Salmond said to be planning bid to stand in Danny Alexander's seat at GE15 http://t.co/B5ei68uLG5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2014 SNP 4/9 favoutite to oust Alexander in Inverness Ladbrokes http://t.co/OKFhPuoEOc latest odds on Inverness where it might be Salmond vs Alexander 4/9 SNP 2/1 LD 10/1 LAB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2014 How the seat voted at GE10 How Inverness voted at GE10 pic.twitter.com/M1ZqVu6PTB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2014 The extraordinary Inverness result from GE1992…
Reminder. Next PB gathering Friday Nov 21: The day after Rochester. Usual place:Dirty Dicks opposite Liverpool Street station London from 1830
Watch: New Statesman editor Jason Cowley defends the magazine's criticism of Ed Miliband #SkyNewsTonight http://t.co/y2rClEeNR3 — Sky News Tonight (@SkyNewsTonight) November 6, 2014 This article by the New Statesman's Editor has played big part in bringing LAB's Ed Miliband issue to a head. http://t.co/PlZNBPDE95 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2014 What seems to have set this off – a New Statesman article Looking over the past couple of days the trigger for the Miliband leadership speculation appears to have…