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Author: Mike Smithson

There can only be one conclusion here – Sunak’s toast

There can only be one conclusion here – Sunak’s toast

Hardy these days do we focus on a single poll on PB. Rather I like to look at the big pictrure from a group of surveys at regular intervals. Given that we are getting nearer and nearer to the general election then the pressure will surely mount on the PM. If there hadn’t been so many changes of leader during the current Parliament then I think that Sunak would be more vulnerable to a coup than he is at the…

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The Met is right to resist pressure on Palestinian march

The Met is right to resist pressure on Palestinian march

There is a big political row growing over the plans to have a pro-Palestinian march this Sunday which of course is Remembrance Day. Sunak has decided to back the Israelis while many others believe the other side has right on its side. The two front pages above sum up the argument on the planned marches and I totally support the view of the Met that it shouldn’t be their role to decide which marches should take place. Mike Smithson

Why Trump not winning WH2024 could be a value bet

Why Trump not winning WH2024 could be a value bet

Currently Donald Trump is the betting favorite to be the winner of the 2024 presidential election. He is marginally ahead in the betting of the incumbent Joe Biden One of the factors that doesn’t seem to be taken into account is that there are strong legal moves that would effectively stop Trump from being on the ballot in several states. This has already happened in Colorado. A huge hurdle that Trump will have to surmount is the 14th amendment to…

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Is Sunak going to make it to the election?

Is Sunak going to make it to the election?

One of the things that intrigues me about the current betting markets is that there is so little speculation on the future of the prime minister. Normally when a leader was so far behind in the polls port so long there would be lots of reports of rebellions in his or her party about being replaced. A lively betting market would be about who would be the next prime minister. Yet with 100+ Tory MPs set to lose their jobs…

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