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Author: Mike Smithson

A personal note on the NHS

A personal note on the NHS

Bingo. I’m now off the waiting list for my spinal operation and this is now all fixed for three weeks today. The idea that in less than a month I could be walking again without pain is just fantastic. The speed has rather taken me by surprise. I only saw the consultant on December 30th and I was expecting a huge wait for the prescribed procedure. This comes at a time when all the papers are reporting on the decline…

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If the polls continue like this can Sunak survive?

If the polls continue like this can Sunak survive?

If the Tories were hoping that the New Year might see a change in their dire polling situation then they will have been disappointed. We’ve now seen enough polls carried out since the start of the year to come to that conclusion. What is clear is that the autumn change of leadership to first Truss and then Sunak has had no impact on how voters see the current party of government. This all comes as we get closer to when…

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The betting money goes on Biden to be re-elected

The betting money goes on Biden to be re-elected

We have not shown this chart for a few weeks but it represents what is going on and what will be the biggest market of all in the next couple of years. The big mover upwards is 80 year old Biden while Florida governor DeSantis is on the decline. Trump on a 13% chance is not rated as strongly as he was. Biden has already put a campaign structure in place for the 2024 election and provided there is no…

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Sunak’s response to the private GP question made things worse

Sunak’s response to the private GP question made things worse

It was on Sunday that this interview first went out and yet the issue that it raises is still causing problems for Number 10. I wouldn’t be surprised if Starmer chooses to bring it up at PMQs. Clearly there is a lot of sensitivity to the fact that the PM compared with the vast bulk of voters is fabulously rich. By refusing to answer Sunak is effectively saying yes he does have a private GP. This matters because in the…

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BoJo’s resignation – “Right or Wrong”: GE2019 Tories think the latter

BoJo’s resignation – “Right or Wrong”: GE2019 Tories think the latter

Interesting set of poll results from R&W which no doubt will give a boost to those in the Tory Party who would like Boris Johnson back. What can be seen from the Tweet there has been very little difference on this since October when the first polling took place shortly after Johnson felt he had to quit. The former PM has a lot of support amongst his party base and that is not changing. His problem is the wider electorate….

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