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Author: Mike Smithson

The NHS the biggest vulnerability of Sunak’s Tories – Ipsos polling

The NHS the biggest vulnerability of Sunak’s Tories – Ipsos polling

Will these be the election policy battlegrounds? A few days ago the Labour leader Keir Starmer set out what he described as Labour’s 5 missions as the first part of his build-up to the general election. It was almost certainly right of the Labour leader to start getting into more detail and the polling I think suggests where he is as strong and where the Tories are most vulnerable In terms of which party would do a good job, Labour…

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Compulsory voting ID – A CON gift to LAB & the LDs?

Compulsory voting ID – A CON gift to LAB & the LDs?

Could this disproportionately impede Tory voters? The local elections on May 4th will be the first to be held where every voter will be asked to provide some form of photo ID when they seek to cast their vote at the polling station. Postal voting is not affected. There is a long list of acceptable forms of ID including driving licences, passports and for the elderly their concessionary bus pass if they have one. Verifying the ID is going to…

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The front pages the morning after

The front pages the morning after

Given that the general election has to take place before January 2025 what happened yesterday could have a big impact on the overall result. The chancellor has made some very big decisions the question is whether he will be proved right. In almost all elections the state of the economy is said to be the most important factor and yesterday will play a big part to determine how voters feel when we all come to vote again. The polls remain…

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Sunak’s investing too much political capital on “stopping the boats”

Sunak’s investing too much political capital on “stopping the boats”

I sometimes wonder whether having both a Prime Minister and a Home Secretary who are of immigrant origin is a big reason why the government feels it has to take such a high-profile on being seen to be trying to control numbers. It is as though they believe they need to be extra tough on this particular area. Is immigration an issue that will win or lose elections and making such a big deal of current developments opens them to…

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