Starmer could have to wait 18 months to become PM Given the way the polls are going it is hard to see any sort of recovery in the months before the general election. The public appears to have made up its mind about Sunak and his party and there are very few positive signs for the Tories. The July 20th byelections will likely add another nail in the coffin and there have been reports that he himself has given up….
We are only nine days away from the July 20th by-elections where the Tories are defending three seats. Mid-Bedfordshire, as we have noted several times, might never happen because the Tory incumbent, Nadine Dorries, has yet to resign. As can be seen punters think that the Tories are going to be in for a dreadful night a week on Thursday. It is hard to dispute the current betting odds. The only oddity is Mid Beds where punters have the LDs…
I very much like this R&W chart because it gets to the heart of what the next election will be about and Starmer continues to get markedly better ratings than Sunak. I still wonder if Sunak could be in danger. Tory MPs faced with the real prospect of losing their seats might just start to panic and the PM could be facing a crisis. One thing I think is becoming clear is that Sunak will likely wait before he calls…
As the betting chart shows there has been a marked fall in the odds of Joe Biden winning his party’s nomination. A big question that is now being increasingly raised is his age as in this article in The Atlantic under the heading “Step aside Joe Biden – The president has no business running for office at age 80. We are less than five months away from the first primaries and I wonder whether the incumbent is going to face…
One thing we are learning about Sunak is that he doesn’t like PMQs and his team is going to great lengths to restrict the number of his appearances. Hence this last week and next we find that the PM will not be facing the Commons and Starmer. With next Wednesday taken into account, the total of PMQs he will have missed since becoming PM will be 7 which is a far far higher proportion than his predecessors. Sure there are…
Mid-Beds – the by-election that will never be? It was on June 9th that Mid-Beds MP Nadine Dorries announced that she was stepping down as an MP “with immediate effect”. A short time later she learned that the House of Lords committee that advises the PM in these matters had turned down a proposal by Boris Johnson in his resignation honours that she should be a peer. Since then several weeks have gone by and still Nadine clings on to…