Punters think he’s a 70%+ chance for the nomination On the face of it we are heading for a Trump Biden rerun in the 2024 presidential election. It would appear that the only way that 81 year-old Joe can defend the presidency is if his opponent is Trump. If it becomes clear that the controversial winner of WH2020 is not going to get it then it is hard to see Biden hanging on to his role. We are of course…
As most PBers know I live in Bedford only about a mile and a half from the Mid Beds constituency where following the resignation of Nadine Dorries there is to be a by-election. This has been a long time coming and the outgoing Tory MP has not helped her party’s reputation by first announcing her resignation “with immediate effect” and then taking 76 days to actually do so. Her resignation letter is full of vitriol and could have an impact…
The big political betting news has been the UK betting market reaction to the first Republican presidential debate. As can be seen from the charts it has had very little impact. Trump didn’t attend and his prices have hardly changed. The contender who was getting most cheers in the hall was 38 year old Vivek Ramaswamy who over the past weeks has edged up to second in the nomination betting. He has what some would regard as extreme policies particularly…
Sunak, surely, needs to take more action The ongoing story of Nadine Dorries continuing to be an MP more than two months after her “resignation with immediate effect” continues to get coverage. It is not helped that Dorries, of “I’m a celebrity” fame, has a high media profile and people know who she is. Her appalling record of what she has or hasn’t done for her constituents over the past year continues to get coverage and even the PM when…
I really don’t know what to make of this poll but there is little doubt that Trump is facing a whole pile of legal problems. The big question is what impact this will have on his efforts to regain the White House? What will be scaring Trump’s team at the moment is the increasing number of those named in the indictments who seem to be volunteering to help the prosecution. Plea deals appear to be taking place Although the above…
Who’ll hold the seat at the end of the parliament? Labour and the LDs have had a little battle going on in Mid Bedfordshire each trying to establish that they will be the main challenger if Nadine Dorries does indeed step aside and there’s a by-election to replace her. Labour is highlighting their second place at GE2019 when although they were a long way behind they were ahead of the LDs. Davey’s party is undoubtedly the by-election king with a…
Poll finds 49% of Brits want the UK to remain – 26% say leave Some senior Tories are pressing Sunak to include a commitment to leave the European Convention on Human Rights in the party’s next election manifesto. This follows the decisions of the court on the government’s Rwanda plans. Maybe this latest poll from More in Common will cause the party to think again. It found that 49% want Britain to remain a member of the Convention while leaving…
As we have seen on previous threads many Tory supporters are getting a little bit of the confidence back with the latest R&W Paul having the deficit down to just 15%. The same trend has been seen with other firms and we are getting a bit closer to the point where a LAB majority might just be in the balance. One thing is looking pretty clear and that the days of Labour leads of 20% plus are no longer there…