How many Westminster seats will the SNP end up with? This is a very big point about the by-election on how the SNP is struggling with Scottish voters. The answer of course is not many. At GE2019 a total of 49 of the 59 Scottish seats went to the SNP. There will be different boundaries and fewer Scottish seats and it is hard to see the SNP total being in double figures. This means there could be getting on for…
After the LAB success in Scotland the party has big hopes of gaining the next by-election to come up – Mid Beds a week on Thursday. But this is proving to be a tough fight with both the LDs and the Tories working very hard. I would not be betting on LAB at current odds because the LDs are going full throttle here while the Tories are working hard to save the seat. Let us not forget that in the…
The betting suggests an SNP loss There has been very little coverage of this election simply because it looks like a near certainty for Starmer’s party. Indeed the big surprise would be LAB not making the gain. Mike Smithson
There is lovely story going around Mid Beds where the by-election takes place a fortnight today. This has become a fight between LAB, the Tories and LDs with all three parties fighting very hard and one voter being canvassed by LAB demanded that he be able to put a question to the LAB leader. He wouldn’t say what this was so Starmer is said to have paid him a visit. The question turned out to be quite simple – was…
I find the above table from Survation absolutely fascinating and highlights the massive challenge facing Sunak and his team at the coming general election. It is not surprising that the top papers for LAB are the Guardian, the I and the Mirror. The Telegraph breakdown is for me the biggest surprise with 41% going LAB and 32% with the Tories. The Express is also a shock with LAB leading by 8%. That just 29% of FT readers are Tory backers…
Mike Smthson
No conference boost for Rishi
As the Rishi Sunak stands up to speak today, he will be in now doubt that time is running out for him and his party. Ipsos polling makes clear the scale of the political challenge he faces. Last month we found that 86% of the public think ‘Britain needs a fresh team of leaders’. Pessimism is palpable wherever you look. More than 6 in 10 tell us things in Britain are heading in the wrong direction and the public think…