With Joe Biden totally dominating the next President polls the next big moment in WH2020 looks set to be the announcement of who is to be his running mate. Biden has already made it clear that it will be a woman and a lot of the betting is going on it being an African American. The names seem to come and go and that’s reflected in the betting. What is making this harder is that his campaign is giving lots…
But it will only work with industry-wide collaboration When did you last buy a newspaper? I’ve no idea when I did. It was certainly before this year and then will have been the local weekly; I haven’t bought a national paper in years – why would you? I do subscribe to a hard-copy weekly magazine (which also brings with it online access to their articles), but that’s a different thing I’m not alone. In the last ten years, The Times…
What having a controversial figure in the White House does to the betting Above is a screenshot of the Betfair market on who will be next president. We’ve talked about the odds on this for well over a year but what is striking this afternoon is how close the total matched is to £50m. That we should get to that sort of total with more than 3 months to go until November 2nd is quite extraordinary and this will almost…
This week’s out of court settlement of the case between the LAB party and some of its former employees has put the spotlight once again on former leader Corbyn who twice led to the party to general election defeats. The decision by Corbyn himself to attack the party over this is a reflection that Labour’s internal wars are ongoing. A real problem that the Corbyn backers have to acknowledge is that their man was the main driver of votes switching…
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It’s time to talk about the Uighurs again. Despite a harrowing Panorama programme and this header, last December no-one was much bothered, beyond some token expressions of concern. What a difference 7 months, a Made in China pandemic, a security law obliterating HK’s freedoms and news of Huawei’s active involvement in the security apparatus used for Uighur persecution make. 25 years after the Srebrenica massacre by Serbs of 8,000 Muslim Bosnian men and boys – the inevitable murderous conclusion of…
The above chart is from an interesting analysis from Nate Silver’s 538 site on the so-called enthusiasm gap between supporters for the President and his Democratic opponent. This is based on polling that those planning to vote for Trump on November 2nd are twice as likely to say they are enthusiastic about their choice than Biden backers. Inevitably with Trump polling an average nine points behind Biden the President himself and his campaign are looking at plus points from the…
What with the LAB party defamation case moves and PMQs its been another big political day. One thing’s for sure the response by Corbyn to the party’s settlement of the libel action doesn’t mean the antisemitism row is going away.