So far no conference or JC re-election bounce for LAB
No change at YouGov following events of last week
New YouGov has
CON 39
LAB 30
LD 8
UKIP 13
Unchanged on last week— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016
New findings on TMay
TMay's net YouGov "Well/badly" ratings down from +31% on Sep 4 to +24%. By 42% to 26% sample said she "doesn't "care for people like me"
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016
YouGov. Is TMay up to the job of being PM
Yes 52%
No 19%
40% of GE2015 LAB voters say she is up to the job 35% say she isn't— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016
YouGov. Does TMay have a likeable personality?
Does 32%
Doesn't 35%— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016
But BREXIT not seen to be going well
YouGov: how well/badly Government doing negotiating BREXIT
WELL 16%
BADLY 50%— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016
Little appetite for an early election
YouGov: By 46% to 36% the sample says there should not be an early election before 2020
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016