Suddenly independence starts to look a much scarier prospect to the Scots. BREXIT could be keeping the union together
Survation finds big move against Independence in latest Scottish poll
Yes 42% (-5)
No 48% (+7)
Changes from June 28— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2016
It’s not only the oil prices but so much more appears undercertain
Survation’s latest Scottish poll, like some other similar surveys, have found that the mood is moving away from independence.
The normal response is to blame the oil price but I wonder if it goes deeper than that. BREXIT has added so many new uncertainties that the idea of adding independence into the mixture just seems too much at this time.
The widespread assumption pre-June 23rd was that UK voting LEAVE but Scotland going REMAIN would increase the pressure for independence. In fact the opposite appears to be the case.
Could it be that BREXIT is actually holding the UK together?