Polling analysis: UKIP supporters make up the biggest group of those wanting OUT, LAB ones of those wanting to stay
Tory voters are very much split between the two
I don’t think this form of analysis has been done so far in the campaign – where are the supporters of either side coming from. What surprised me was that the Tory general election support is almost totally split between the two sides and is not the dominant segment in either.
Turnout is clearly going to be important and whether the Tory vote remain broadly split will stay as it is or veer towards Boris or Dave. Hard to say at the moment.
The June 23rd EU Referendum – latest betting in our “live” chart
HOLD THE DATE. The next PB London gathering will be on Friday April 8th at the Shooting Star pub near Liverpool Street station. Details to follow