First post EU deal referendum poll has REMAIN with 15% lead
Very little about the poll is known apart from the headline.
I’m told that fieldwork started this morning so all took place after the EU deal was known. It was carried out by Survation by phone.
There is no recent Survation EU phone polling to compare it to so it is hard to judge the impact. We do know that phone polls have been showing much bigger leads for IN than online ones.
In the US all eyes are on South Carolina and Nevada
Meanwhile we are getting early news from the two big White House races. Polls are due to close in the full primary in South Carolina at midnight UK time. In Nevada the Democratic part has been holding caucuses and info has been coming in. The battle looks very tight.
UPDATE
Survation phone poll for MoS carried out today
REMAIN 48%
LEAVE 33%
DK 19%— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 20, 2016
35% of those polled by Survation for today's MoS #EYRef phone survey say they think Cameron did well. 30% say badly
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 20, 2016