REMAIN leads drops by 10% in first post-Tusk talks EURef phone poll
New ComRes #EUref phone poll sees sharp drop in REMAIN lead. Now just 8% pic.twitter.com/DQhwRO5LTU
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016
The oldies in the ComRes EURef phone poll, those of 65+ split
REMAIN 39%
LEAVE 52%— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016
ComRes/ITV EURef phone poll finds CON voters split with 45% supporting REMAIN and 48% LEAVE. 70% of GE2015 LAB voters say REMAIN
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2016
The challenge facing Dave is getting bigger
I’ve placed my first referendum bet on LEAVE on Betfair at odds slightly longer than 2/1. Today’s phone poll, the first since the Tusk talks, suggests that that trend to BREXIT seen in the online polls is being repeated there.
There’s little doubt that the barrage of negative coverage that Cameron has received has added to the uncertainty and has driven this trend. My view is that the betting will get tighter.