Zac to win mayoralty, Corbyn to survive, Trump to fail: Ipsos MORI poll on what people think will happen in 2016
Ipsos MORI poll on what Britons think will happen in 2016 pic.twitter.com/3iMR8qkECm
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 29, 2015
Ipsos MORI 2016 prediction poll – Sport etc pic.twitter.com/V2zVmIrJqY
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 29, 2015
Ipsos MORI 2016 prediction poll Economic pic.twitter.com/aSm7PtQwHC
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 29, 2015
Welcome 2016 – Prediction Time
It’s that time of year when people look to the next year and start making predictions. One new development on this that I don’t recall seeing before is a national phone poll as seen in some of the charts above from Ipsos MORI.
On the political list the one that is out of line with the betting markets is who’ll replace Boris as London Mayor. The poll, as can be seen, has Zac as the strong favourite. Punters make Sadiq a strong favourite. On this we need to remember that this is a national poll one not just restricted to London. My guess is that a survey confined to just those living in the capital would have a different view.
Corbyn to survive is broadly in line with the betting as is for Donald Trump not to become US president.