On the day of the royal birth – Marf and the weekend general election polls
First two polls of the night ComRes & Opinium have no change
After a CON lead of 1% last week tonight's Opinium/Observer poll has
CON 35
LAB 34
LD 8
UKIP 13
GTN 5— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
Tonight’s ComRes phone poll for IoS/S Mirror has with comparisons last Tuesday poll
Con 33% -2
Lab 33% -2
LD 8% +1
UKIP 13% +2
GN 7% +1
Views of Ed & Dave from ComRes IoS/S Mirror poll pic.twitter.com/do2qGinzmN
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
HEADLINE VI Survation/MoS LAB 34%; CON 31%; UKIP 17%; LD 8%; SNP 5%; GRE 4%; OTH 1%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
LAB 4% ahead with Survation when sample asked to fill in replica ballot forms
CON 28
LAB 32
LD 9.6
UKIP 16.9
GN 6.4— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
Survation's replica ballot form questioning in very innovative and highlights the candidate effect. LDs get small uplift.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
YouGov S Times poll
Con 34
Lab 33
Ukip 13
LD 8
GN 5— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2015
Poll of Polls from Prof John Curtice in S Tel has CON 1% – which would lead to
CON 274 seats
LAB 292 seats http://t.co/M4ZU6XgY8v— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 3, 2015