The turning of the tide or just sample variation?

Survation trend chart including their latest with CON lead pic.twitter.com/CtBrHBYt9Y

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 17, 2015

CON take the lead in D Mirror Survation poll
CON 34% (+4); LAB 33% (-2); UKIP 17% (+1); LD 7% (-1); SNP 4% (NC); GRE 3% (-1)

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 17, 2015

This is only the second time Survation has ever shown the Tories in the lead, since they started in 2011…

— Number Cruncher Politics UK (@NCPoliticsUK) April 17, 2015

Survation ENGLAND only data
CON 35.8
LAB 34.5
LD 6.4
UKP 18.5
GN 4.8
A 5.05% CON to LAB swing since 2010

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 17, 2015

So 2 polls that had LAB with biggish leads last wk, Panelbase (6% to 1%) & Survation (4% LAB to 1% CON) report moves in other direction.

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 17, 2015

With all poll movements we must set out the normal caveats and these are just two polls.

But the blue team will find it heartening.