Updated: Opinium has the Tories 2% ahead – LAB retains its slender YouGov lead
Trend chart from Opinium which has just recorded its first ever CON lead in its Observer polling series pic.twitter.com/o4q9cS3RlB
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
Opinium shares
Con 35%(+2), Lab 33%(-2), Lib Dems 6%(-2),UKIP 15%(+1),Green 7%(+1)
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
The poll represents a 4.2% CON to LAB swing in England
Opinium ENGLAND only split
CON 36
LAB 33
LD 7
UKIP 16
GRN 7
That compares with CON 11.4% lead in England at GE10 so a 4.1% CON to LAB swing
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
Tonight's Opinium CON lead means that 2 of the last 18 poll have the blues ahead.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
@OpiniumResearch finds that 51% would vote to leave in an EU referendum and 49% stay
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
Cameron breaks even in latest Opinium leader approval ratings. pic.twitter.com/JzJVy3EEHa
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
All told a reassuring poll for the Tories from Opinium but on these figures LAB, even with Scotland problems, likely to have most seats.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
UPDATE LAB retains YouGov lead
Tonight's YouGov sees LAB still in lead CON 33%, LAB 34%, LD 8%, UKIP 13%, GRN 6%.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015
Tonight's 13% UKIP share in YouGov S Times poll is the lowest this year
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015